Verbatim from the venue. The analyst must quote these, never paraphrase.
If federal legislation requiring independent AI safety evaluations or audits has become law after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
A qualifying federal law must require a safety evaluation or audit of AI models, systems, or safety practices by an evaluator independent of the entity being reviewed. Government evaluators and independent outside organizations qualify. The review must substantively assess safety risks, testing, safeguards, or risk management; disclosure paperwork or self-attestation alone does not qualify.
The law may cover a defined class of models or entities and may delegate technical standards to an agency. Self-assessments, voluntary programs, studies, and reviews limited to privacy, fairness, or transparency without a safety component do not qualify. A later effective date does not delay qualification.
An example of this is the FRONTIER Act (H.R. 9925).
Will independent AI safety audits become U.S. law before Jan 1, 2028?
Before Jan 1, 2028
KXAISAFETYAUDIT-26SEP-28JAN01
34¢
41¢
36¢
−24¢
7¢
410
1,034
1,439
in 16mo
active
Date
Jan 1, 2027
early_close_conditionThis market will close and expire early if the event occurs.
event_tickerKXAISAFETYAUDIT-26SEP
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expected_expiration_time2028-01-07T15:00:00Z
expiration_time2027-01-07T15:00:00Z
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market_typebinary
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no_bid_dollars0.8100
no_sub_titleBefore Jan 1, 2027
notional_value_dollars1.0000
occurrence_datetime2027-01-01T05:00:00Z
open_interest_fp1144.73
open_time2026-09-17T00:00:00Z
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result
rules_primaryIf federal legislation requiring independent AI safety evaluations or audits has become law after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
rules_secondaryA qualifying federal law must require a safety evaluation or audit of AI models, systems, or safety practices by an evaluator independent of the entity being reviewed. Government evaluators and independent outside organizations qualify. The review must substantively assess safety risks, testing, safeguards, or risk management; disclosure paperwork or self-attestation alone does not qualify.
The law may cover a defined class of models or entities and may delegate technical standards to an agency. Self-assessments, voluntary programs, studies, and reviews limited to privacy, fairness, or transparency without a safety component do not qualify. A later effective date does not delay qualification.
An example of this is the FRONTIER Act (H.R. 9925).
settlement_timer_seconds1800
statusactive
strike_typecustom
tickerKXAISAFETYAUDIT-26SEP-27JAN01
titleWill independent AI safety audits become U.S. law before Jan 1, 2027?