Verbatim from the venue. The analyst must quote these, never paraphrase.
If the Bitcoin spot price according to the CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index is above $250000 starting 2025-10-18T14:00:00.000Z and before Jan 1, 2027 at 12:00AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
The market resolves based on the CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) using a trimmed mean calculation. The resolution value is calculated by taking all BRTI values for each minute from market issuance until the specified time on the target date, removing the top 20% and bottom 20% of values, then averaging the remaining 60% of values. If the BRTI crosses the threshold at any point during the measurement period (triggering early expiration), the market immediately resolves. If no data is available at the expiration time, the market resolves to No. The market can resolve early if Bitcoin definitively crosses the threshold before the target date and time.
early_close_conditionThis market will close and expire early if Bitcoin crosses the specified price threshold.
Order book
Top of book, both sides expressed as YES prices.
Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
ask4758¢
ask357¢
ask7,2466¢
ask2,4135¢
ask10.4k4¢
ask20.1k3¢
ask8,8052¢
ask131.7k1¢
spread–mid –
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes
Yes
No
Size
Taker
21s ago
1¢
99¢
4,676
yes
46m ago
1¢
99¢
94
yes
1h ago
1¢
99¢
5.04
yes
1h ago
1¢
99¢
9.35
yes
2h ago
1¢
99¢
374
yes
4h ago
1¢
99¢
60
yes
4h ago
1¢
99¢
94
yes
6h ago
1¢
99¢
2,338
yes
6h ago
1¢
99¢
3,180
yes
7h ago
1¢
99¢
94
yes
8h ago
1¢
99¢
94
yes
9h ago
1¢
99¢
35
yes
9h ago
1¢
99¢
468
yes
9h ago
1¢
99¢
93
yes
11h ago
1¢
99¢
94
yes
12h ago
1¢
99¢
507
yes
14h ago
1¢
99¢
1,122
yes
15h ago
1¢
99¢
187
yes
15h ago
1¢
99¢
94
yes
15h ago
1¢
99¢
94
yes
15h ago
1¢
99¢
94
yes
16h ago
1¢
99¢
94
yes
16h ago
1¢
99¢
94
yes
16h ago
1¢
99¢
1,029
yes
19h ago
1¢
99¢
374
yes
event_ticker
KXBTC2026250-27JAN01
exchange_index0
expected_expiration_time2027-01-01T05:00:00Z
expiration_time2027-01-31T05:00:00Z
expiration_value
floor_strike250000
last_price_dollars0.0100
latest_expiration_time2027-01-31T05:00:00Z
market_typebinary
no_ask_dollars1.0000
no_bid_dollars0.9900
no_sub_titleAbove $250000
notional_value_dollars1.0000
open_interest_fp637630.71
open_time2025-10-18T14:00:00Z
previous_price_dollars0.0100
previous_yes_ask_dollars0.0100
previous_yes_bid_dollars0.0000
price_level_structurelinear_cent
price_ranges1
[0]3
end1.0000
start0.0000
step0.0100
result
rules_primaryIf the Bitcoin spot price according to the CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index is above $250000 starting 2025-10-18T14:00:00.000Z and before Jan 1, 2027 at 12:00AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
rules_secondaryThe market resolves based on the CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) using a trimmed mean calculation. The resolution value is calculated by taking all BRTI values for each minute from market issuance until the specified time on the target date, removing the top 20% and bottom 20% of values, then averaging the remaining 60% of values. If the BRTI crosses the threshold at any point during the measurement period (triggering early expiration), the market immediately resolves. If no data is available at the expiration time, the market resolves to No. The market can resolve early if Bitcoin definitively crosses the threshold before the target date and time.
settlement_bounds_typedefault
settlement_timer_seconds3600
statusactive
strike_typegreater
tickerKXBTC2026250-27JAN01-250000
titleWill Bitcoin be above $250000 by Jan 1, 2027 at 12:00AM ET?