Will Bitcoin be above $130,000 by Oct 1, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET?

If the Bitcoin spot price according to the CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index is above $130000 starting Sep 22, 2026 and before Oct 1, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.

The market resolves based on the CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) using a trimmed mean calculation. The resolution value is calculated by taking all BRTI values for each minute from market issuance until the specified time on the target date, removing the top 20% and bottom 20% of values, then averaging the remaining 60% of values. If the BRTI crosses the threshold at any point during the measurement period (triggering early expiration), the market immediately resolves. If no data is available at the expiration time, the market resolves to No. The market can resolve early if Bitcoin definitively crosses the threshold before the target date and time.

opens

Sep 22 · 7:00 PM UTC

closes

Oct 1 · 2:00 PM UTC · may close early

expires

Jul 8, 2027 · 2:00 PM UTC

floor

130000

category

Crypto

event

independent outcomes