Verbatim from the venue. The analyst must quote these, never paraphrase.
If any member of Trump's Cabinet leaves their office, or announces they will leave their office, from before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Any action related to Tulsi Gabbard will not qualify.
The President announcing that a member of the Cabinet will leave the Cabinet also qualifies.
For purposes of this Contract, the Cabinet includes the heads of the 15 government agencies in the Cabinet as of Issuance, as well the Administrator of the EPA, the President’s Chief of Staff, Director of National Intelligence, Director of OMB, Director of CIA, United States Trade Representative, Ambassador to the UN, Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers, Administrator of the SBA, and Director of OSTP. Acting roles are not included. Leaving office as a result of death is not encompassed by the Payout Criterion.
rules_primaryIf any member of Trump's Cabinet leaves their office, or announces they will leave their office, from before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
rules_secondaryAny action related to Tulsi Gabbard will not qualify.
The President announcing that a member of the Cabinet will leave the Cabinet also qualifies.
For purposes of this Contract, the Cabinet includes the heads of the 15 government agencies in the Cabinet as of Issuance, as well the Administrator of the EPA, the President’s Chief of Staff, Director of National Intelligence, Director of OMB, Director of CIA, United States Trade Representative, Ambassador to the UN, Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers, Administrator of the SBA, and Director of OSTP. Acting roles are not included. Leaving office as a result of death is not encompassed by the Payout Criterion.
settlement_timer_seconds1800
statusactive
subtitleBefore Jan 2027
tickerKXCABLEAVE-26MAY22-27JAN
titleWill any member of Trump's Cabinet leave before Jan 2027?