Verbatim from the venue. The analyst must quote these, never paraphrase.
If the Democratic party has won below 44 seats in 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in California, then the market resolves to Yes.
A seat is considered "won" when a candidate affiliated with the specified party has been declared elected by the relevant electoral authority and either the time for legal challenges has expired, challenges have been resolved, or the member has taken their seat. Party affiliation is determined by the party under whose banner the candidate was elected, regardless of subsequent changes. The count is determined when the new legislature takes their seats, even if some seats remain vacant or challenged. If the election is postponed beyond one year from the original date or cancelled entirely, the market resolves to the last fair market price. Only seats actually contested and filled are counted in partial elections. By-elections after the main election are included only if seated simultaneously with the rest of the legislature.
opens
Feb 5 · 12:00 AM UTC
closes
Nov 3, 2027 · 2:00 PM UTC · may close early
expires
Nov 24, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC
cap
44
Recent trades
Most recent first. Price is the YES side.
Time
Yes
No
Size
Taker
1mo ago
Raw payload
Exactly what the API returned for this market.
Show JSON
market41
can_close_earlytrue
cap_strike44
close_time2027-11-03T14:00:00Z
created_time2026-02-04T22:12:52.556736Z
early_close_condition
ask1,33030¢
ask5005¢
ask201¢
ask1,0261¢
spread0¢mid 0¢
bid1,0000¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes
1¢
100¢
31
yes
This market will close and expire early if all seats have been called and additional recounts/by-elections will not affect the market outcome.
event_tickerKXCAHOUSEDEM-26NOV03
exchange_index0
expected_expiration_time2027-11-24T15:00:00Z
expiration_time2027-11-03T14:00:00Z
expiration_value
last_price_dollars0.0050
latest_expiration_time2027-11-03T14:00:00Z
liquidity_dollars0.0000
market_typebinary
no_ask_dollars0.9990
no_bid_dollars0.9950
no_sub_titleBelow 44
notional_value_dollars1.0000
open_interest_fp79.90
open_time2026-02-05T00:00:00Z
previous_price_dollars0.0050
previous_yes_ask_dollars0.0050
previous_yes_bid_dollars0.0010
price_level_structuretapered_deci_cent
price_ranges3
[0]3
end0.1000
start0.0000
step0.0010
[1]3
end0.9000
start0.1000
step0.0100
[2]3
end1.0000
start0.9000
step0.0010
result
rules_primaryIf the Democratic party has won below 44 seats in 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in California, then the market resolves to Yes.
rules_secondaryA seat is considered "won" when a candidate affiliated with the specified party has been declared elected by the relevant electoral authority and either the time for legal challenges has expired, challenges have been resolved, or the member has taken their seat. Party affiliation is determined by the party under whose banner the candidate was elected, regardless of subsequent changes. The count is determined when the new legislature takes their seats, even if some seats remain vacant or challenged. If the election is postponed beyond one year from the original date or cancelled entirely, the market resolves to the last fair market price. Only seats actually contested and filled are counted in partial elections. By-elections after the main election are included only if seated simultaneously with the rest of the legislature.
settlement_timer_seconds1800
statusactive
strike_typeless
tickerKXCAHOUSEDEM-26NOV03-B44
titleWill Democrats win below 44 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in California?