Will New Democratic Party win the next Canadian federal election for the House of Commons?

New Democratic Partyactivebinarycustom

Public page Open on kalshi.com

Yes bid / ask

1¢ / 6¢

spread 5¢

Last trade

6¢

–

No bid / ask

94¢ / 99¢

24h volume

0

7 lifetime

Open interest

5

top of book 50 × 200

Closes

in 50mo

Oct 15, 2030 · 2:00 PM UTC

YES price

Close per candle with bid/ask band; volume below. Times in UTC.

24h · 1m 7d · 1h 30d · 1h 90d · 1d

Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Top of book, both sides expressed as YES prices.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes

ask9799¢
ask4,51384¢
ask20083¢
ask118¢

Resolution rules

Verbatim from the venue. The analyst must quote these, never paraphrase.

If New Democratic Party wins the next Canadian federal election for the House of Commons, then the market resolves to Yes.

For parliamentary/legislative elections, the winner is the party, coalition, or alliance winning the most seats in the specified chamber. If two parties have the same number of seats, the one entering government will resolve to Yes and all others to No; if both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to Yes and all others to No. This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details.

opens: Jul 28 · 4:30 PM UTC
closes: Oct 15, 2030 · 2:00 PM UTC · may close early
expires: Oct 15, 2030 · 2:00 PM UTC

Recent trades

Most recent first. Price is the YES side.

No trades yet.

Raw payload

Exactly what the API returned for this market.

Show JSON

market43

can_close_earlytrue

close_time2030-10-15T14:00:00Z

created_time2026-07-28T15:54:31.106842Z

custom_strike1

ask

2,000

15¢

ask2006¢

spread5¢mid 4¢

bid501¢

Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

Option

New Democratic Party

early_close_conditionThis market will close and expire early if the election winner is officially declared or certified.

event_tickerKXCANELECTION-29OCT15

exchange_index0

expected_expiration_time2030-10-15T14:00:00Z

expiration_time2030-10-15T14:00:00Z

expiration_value

last_price_dollars0.0600

latest_expiration_time2030-10-15T14:00:00Z

liquidity_dollars0.0000

market_typebinary

no_ask_dollars0.9900

no_bid_dollars0.9400

no_sub_titleNew Democratic Party

notional_value_dollars1.0000

occurrence_datetime2029-10-15T14:00:00Z

open_interest_fp5.00

open_time2026-07-28T16:30:00Z

previous_price_dollars0.0600

previous_yes_ask_dollars0.0600

previous_yes_bid_dollars0.0100

price_level_structurelinear_cent

price_ranges1

[0]3

end1.0000

start0.0000

step0.0100

result

rules_primaryIf New Democratic Party wins the next Canadian federal election for the House of Commons, then the market resolves to Yes.

rules_secondaryFor parliamentary/legislative elections, the winner is the party, coalition, or alliance winning the most seats in the specified chamber. If two parties have the same number of seats, the one entering government will resolve to Yes and all others to No; if both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to Yes and all others to No. This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details.

settlement_timer_seconds1800