Will China obtains or develops a functional extreme ultraviolet (EUV) lithography machine that capable of patterning semiconductor wafers in a fabrication facility be confirmed before Jan 1, 2027?

Before Jan 1, 2027activebinary

Public page Open on kalshi.com

Yes bid / ask

5¢ / 9¢

spread 4¢

Last trade

11¢

–

No bid / ask

91¢ / 95¢

24h volume

881 lifetime

Open interest

370

top of book 200 × 55

Closes

in 3mo

Jan 1, 2027 · 4:59 AM UTC

YES price

Close per candle with bid/ask band; volume below. Times in UTC.

24h · 1m 7d · 1h 30d · 1h 90d · 1d

Order book

Top of book, both sides expressed as YES prices.

Order book unavailable.

Resolution rules

Verbatim from the venue. The analyst must quote these, never paraphrase.

If China obtains or develops a functional extreme ultraviolet (EUV) lithography machine that capable of patterning semiconductor wafers in a fabrication facility is confirmed by any of the Source Agencies after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

This must be confirmed, verified, or established as factual by at least one Source Agency. News confirmation is defined as a published article, broadcast segment, or official news report by a Source Agency, that A) explicitly states event claim occurred, is true, or has been verified, B) based on journalistic investigation, sources, or evidence, and C) presented as factual reporting rather than speculation, rumor, or unverified allegation.

opens: Jul 13 · 5:30 PM UTC
closes: Jan 1, 2027 · 4:59 AM UTC · may close early
expires: Jan 1, 2030 · 3:00 PM UTC

Recent trades

Most recent first. Price is the YES side.

Time	Yes	No	Size	Taker
12d ago	11¢	89¢	5	yes

Raw payload

Exactly what the API returned for this market.

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market40

can_close_earlytrue

close_time2027-01-01T04:59:00Z

created_time2026-07-13T16:50:53.015998Z

early_close_conditionThis market will close and expire early if the event occurs.