Yes bid / ask
0¢ / 7¢
spread 7¢
24h volume
500
12.1k lifetime
Open interest
7,845
top of book 0 × 100
Closes
in 25d
Oct 16 · 3:59 AM UTC
YES price
Close per candle with bid/ask band; volume below. Times in UTC.
Order book
Top of book, both sides expressed as YES prices.
Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
- ask17088¢
- ask6784¢
- ask14855¢
Resolution rules
Verbatim from the venue. The analyst must quote these, never paraphrase.
If Anthropic releases Opus 6 before Oct 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Release must be to the public, outside of a closed beta, though limiting it to a high-cost subscription tier is acceptable.
- opens
- Aug 10 · 11:45 PM UTC
- closes
- Oct 16 · 3:59 AM UTC · may close early
- expires
- Nov 1 · 3:00 PM UTC
- category
- Science and Technology
- event
- independent outcomes
Recent trades
Most recent first. Price is the YES side.
| Time | Yes | No | Size | Taker |
|---|
| 8h ago | 5¢ | 95¢ | 500 |
Other markets in When will Anthropic release Opus 6?
Opus 6
Raw payload
Exactly what the API returned for this market.
Show JSON
market42
can_close_earlytrue
close_time2026-10-16T03:59:00Z
created_time2026-08-10T23:43:37.991099Z
custom_strike1
ask
1,203
49¢
ask57448¢ask20012¢ask1,0008¢ask1007¢Before Sep 16, 2026
KXCLAUDE-OPUS6-26SEP16
date
before October 16, 2026
early_close_conditionThis market will close and expire early if the event occurs.
event_tickerKXCLAUDE-OPUS6
expected_expiration_time2026-11-01T15:00:00Z
expiration_time2026-10-23T14:00:00Z
latest_expiration_time2026-10-23T14:00:00Z
no_sub_titleBefore Oct 16, 2026
notional_value_dollars1.0000
occurrence_datetime2026-09-01T13:00:00Z
open_time2026-08-10T23:45:00Z
previous_price_dollars0.0600
previous_yes_ask_dollars0.0800
previous_yes_bid_dollars0.0000
price_level_structurelinear_cent
price_ranges1
[0]3
end1.0000
start0.0000
step0.0100
rules_primaryIf Anthropic releases Opus 6 before Oct 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
rules_secondaryRelease must be to the public, outside of a closed beta, though limiting it to a high-cost subscription tier is acceptable.
settlement_timer_seconds1800
tickerKXCLAUDE-OPUS6-26OCT16
titleWill Anthropic release Opus 6 before Oct 16, 2026?
updated_time2026-09-02T00:08:13.080122Z
yes_sub_titleBefore Oct 16, 2026