Fetching from Kalshi…
Fetching from Kalshi…
Close per candle with bid/ask band; volume below. Times in UTC.
Top of book, both sides expressed as YES prices.
Verbatim from the venue. The analyst must quote these, never paraphrase.
If Gavin Newsom is the first individual in this list to publicly declare their candidacy for 2028 United States presidential election after Issuance and before Nov 7, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
A declaration of candidacy requires both filing the appropriate candidacy form (Form 2 with FEC for federal elections or equivalent state/local form) AND a clear, unambiguous public statement explicitly declaring intention to seek the office. The declaration must be made directly by the person or their officially authorized representatives, explicitly reference the specific office, be publicly accessible through Source Agencies, and occur after market issuance. Formation of exploratory committees, third-party statements, media speculation, "considering" statements, private communications, or fundraising without explicit declaration do not qualify. The person must be legally eligible to hold the office under applicable constitutional and statutory requirements.
Before Nov 7, 2028
| Market | Yes bid | Yes ask | Last | Δ | Spread | Vol 24h | OI | Vol total | Closes | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be first this list to declare for 2028 United States presidential election before Nov 7, 2028?Alexandria Ocasio-CortezKXDECLAREPRESFIRSTD-28NOV07-AOCA | 0¢ | 6¢ | 5¢ | – | 6¢ | 0 | 3,118 | 4,039 | in 26mo | active |
Exactly what the API returned for this market.
Most recent first. Price is the YES side.
| Time | Yes | No | Size | Taker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3d ago | 16¢ | 84¢ | 24 | yes |
| 4d ago | 16¢ | 84¢ | 30 | yes |
| 6d ago | 21¢ | 79¢ | 2.83 | no |
| 6d ago | 20¢ | 80¢ | 33 | no |
| 6d ago | 22¢ | 78¢ | 14 | no |
| 6d ago | 21¢ | 79¢ | 22 | no |
| 6d ago | 20¢ | 80¢ | 200 | no |
| 6d ago | 23¢ | 77¢ | 2 | yes |
| 6d ago | 25¢ | 75¢ | 54 | yes |
| 6d ago | 23¢ | 77¢ | 1 | yes |
| 7d ago | 22¢ | 78¢ | 3.8 | no |
| 8d ago | 25¢ | 75¢ | 3.8 | yes |
| 9d ago | 22¢ | 78¢ | 6.57 | no |
| 10d ago | 25¢ | 75¢ | 5 | no |
| 10d ago | 25¢ | 75¢ | 0.3 | no |
| 10d ago | 24¢ | 76¢ | 188 | no |
| 10d ago | 24¢ | 76¢ | 12 | no |
| 10d ago | 32¢ | 68¢ | 15 | yes |
| 10d ago | 31¢ | 69¢ | 0.3 | yes |
| 11d ago | 29¢ | 71¢ | 71 | yes |
| 11d ago | 27¢ | 73¢ | 100 | yes |
| 13d ago | 28¢ | 72¢ | 17 | yes |
| 13d ago | 27¢ | 73¢ | 5 | yes |
| 13d ago | 28¢ | 72¢ | 12 | yes |
| 13d ago | 28¢ | 72¢ | 16 | yes |
| 24¢ |
| 25¢ |
| 24¢ |
| – |
| 1¢ |
| 200 |
| 8,912 |
| 13.0k |
| in 26mo |
| active |
| Will Wes Moore be first this list to declare for 2028 United States presidential election before Nov 7, 2028?Wes MooreKXDECLAREPRESFIRSTD-28NOV07-WMOO | 2¢ | 2¢ | 3¢ | – | 0¢ | 0 | 4,427 | 4,556 | in 26mo | active |
| Will Josh Shapiro be first this list to declare for 2028 United States presidential election before Nov 7, 2028?Josh ShapiroKXDECLAREPRESFIRSTD-28NOV07-JSHA | 6¢ | 7¢ | 8¢ | – | 2¢ | 0 | 5,172 | 8,268 | in 26mo | active |
| Will Kamala Harris be first this list to declare for 2028 United States presidential election before Nov 7, 2028?Kamala HarrisKXDECLAREPRESFIRSTD-28NOV07-KHAR | 4¢ | 6¢ | 7¢ | – | 2¢ | 0 | 7,760 | 15.5k | in 26mo | active |
| Will Gretchen Whitmer be first this list to declare for 2028 United States presidential election before Nov 7, 2028?Gretchen WhitmerKXDECLAREPRESFIRSTD-28NOV07-GWHI | 1¢ | 2¢ | 3¢ | – | 1¢ | 0 | 2,241 | 2,715 | in 26mo | active |
| Will Andy Beshear be first this list to declare for 2028 United States presidential election before Nov 7, 2028?Andy BeshearKXDECLAREPRESFIRSTD-28NOV07-ABES | 23¢ | 26¢ | 22¢ | −1¢ | 3¢ | 200 | 7,144 | 11.9k | in 26mo | active |
| Will Jon Ossoff be first this list to declare for 2028 United States presidential election before Nov 7, 2028?Jon OssoffKXDECLAREPRESFIRSTD-28NOV07-JOSS | 4¢ | 7¢ | 10¢ | – | 4¢ | 0 | 3,189 | 3,950 | in 26mo | active |
| Will J.B. Pritzker be first this list to declare for 2028 United States presidential election before Nov 7, 2028?J.B. PritzkerKXDECLAREPRESFIRSTD-28NOV07-JPRI | 0¢ | 3¢ | 3¢ | – | 2¢ | 0 | 5,196 | 6,315 | in 26mo | active |