Verbatim from the venue. The analyst must quote these, never paraphrase.
If the President signs between 550 and 599 Executive Orders during his second term, then the market resolves to Yes.
An Executive Order must be formally titled "Executive Order" followed by a number, signed by the President, and published in the Federal Register. Presidential Memoranda, Proclamations, Determinations, and other executive actions that are not formally numbered Executive Orders do not count. The signing date as recorded in the Federal Register determines which period an Executive Order belongs to, using ET timezone. Classified Executive Orders count if acknowledged by number. Executive Orders that are later revoked still count for the period they were signed. The Federal Register is the primary source; alternative sources are used only if the Federal Register explicitly states data is incomplete.
opens
Sep 24, 2025 · 2:00 PM UTC
closes
Jan 21, 2029 · 4:59 AM UTC · may close early
expires
Feb 3, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC
floor
550
cap
599
Recent trades
Most recent first. Price is the YES side.
Time
Yes
No
Size
Taker
14d ago
6¢
Raw payload
Exactly what the API returned for this market.
Show JSON
market43
can_close_earlytrue
cap_strike599
close_time2029-01-21T04:59:00Z
created_time2025-09-23T23:56:13.795972Z
early_close_condition
94¢
ask2021¢
ask50010¢
ask3759¢
ask1608¢
ask107¢
spread1¢mid 6¢
bid5006¢
bid846¢
bid55¢
bid5500¢
bid1,0000¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes
94¢
26
no
This market will close and expire early if complete Federal Register data becomes available.
event_tickerKXEOTRUMPTERM-29JAN20
exchange_index0
expected_expiration_time2029-02-03T15:00:00Z
expiration_time2029-02-03T15:00:00Z
expiration_value
floor_strike550
last_price_dollars0.0560
latest_expiration_time2029-02-03T15:00:00Z
liquidity_dollars0.0000
market_typebinary
no_ask_dollars0.9440
no_bid_dollars0.9300
no_sub_titleBetween 550 and 599
notional_value_dollars1.0000
open_interest_fp2925.27
open_time2025-09-24T14:00:00Z
previous_price_dollars0.0560
previous_yes_ask_dollars0.0700
previous_yes_bid_dollars0.0560
price_level_structuretapered_deci_cent
price_ranges3
[0]3
end0.1000
start0.0000
step0.0010
[1]3
end0.9000
start0.1000
step0.0100
[2]3
end1.0000
start0.9000
step0.0010
result
rules_primaryIf the President signs between 550 and 599 Executive Orders during his second term, then the market resolves to Yes.
rules_secondaryAn Executive Order must be formally titled "Executive Order" followed by a number, signed by the President, and published in the Federal Register. Presidential Memoranda, Proclamations, Determinations, and other executive actions that are not formally numbered Executive Orders do not count. The signing date as recorded in the Federal Register determines which period an Executive Order belongs to, using ET timezone. Classified Executive Orders count if acknowledged by number. Executive Orders that are later revoked still count for the period they were signed. The Federal Register is the primary source; alternative sources are used only if the Federal Register explicitly states data is incomplete.
settlement_timer_seconds1800
statusactive
strike_typebetween
subtitleBetween 550 and 599
tickerKXEOTRUMPTERM-29JAN20-574
titleWill the President sign between 550 and 599 Executive Orders between Jan 20, 2025 and Jan 20, 2029?