Will the Federal Reserve Cut rates by 25bps at their October 2026 meeting?

Cut 25bpsactivebinarycustom

Public page Open on kalshi.com

Yes bid / ask

0¢ / 1¢

spread 1¢

Last trade

1¢

–

No bid / ask

99¢ / 100¢

24h volume

15.6k

512.5k lifetime

Open interest

393.7k

top of book 0 × 642.9k

Closes

in 1mo

Oct 28 · 5:59 PM UTC

YES price

Close per candle with bid/ask band; volume below. Times in UTC.

24h · 1m 7d · 1h 30d · 1h 90d · 1d

Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Top of book, both sides expressed as YES prices.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes

ask9508¢
ask267¢
ask10.4k6¢
ask22.2k5¢

Resolution rules

Verbatim from the venue. The analyst must quote these, never paraphrase.

If the Federal Reserve does a Cut of 25bps on October 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

This market is mutually exclusive. Therefore, if the Federal Reserve hikes by 50bps, the 50bps market will resolve to Yes and the 25bps market will resolve to No. Only one bucket, at maximum, can resolve to Yes. Note 4/28/25: For the markets beginning after the May meeting, if a scheduled FOMC meeting is canceled and does not occur on its scheduled date, then the strike for "Fed maintains rate" will resolve to Yes and all others will resolve to No.

opens: Sep 29, 2025 · 2:00 PM UTC
closes: Oct 28 · 5:59 PM UTC · may close early
expires: Oct 28 · 6:05 PM UTC

Recent trades

Most recent first. Price is the YES side.

Time	Yes	No	Size	Taker
5h ago	1¢	99¢	99	yes
5h ago

Raw payload

Exactly what the API returned for this market.

Show JSON

market41

can_close_earlytrue

close_time2026-10-28T17:59:00Z

created_time2025-09-26T15:31:03.908459Z

custom_strike1