Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2035 be above 4.50%?

Above 4.50%activebinarygreater

Public page Open on kalshi.com

Yes bid / ask

10¢ / 58¢

spread 48¢

Last trade

38¢

–

No bid / ask

42¢ / 90¢

24h volume

223 lifetime

Open interest

123

top of book 200 × 100

Closes

in 113mo

Jan 1, 2036 · 4:59 AM UTC

YES price

Close per candle with bid/ask band; volume below. Times in UTC.

24h · 1m 7d · 1h 30d · 1h 90d · 1d

Order book

Top of book, both sides expressed as YES prices.

Order book unavailable.

Resolution rules

Verbatim from the venue. The analyst must quote these, never paraphrase.

If the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2035, as published on the Federal Reserve’s official website, is above 4.50%, then the market resolves to Yes.

If the Federal Reserve specifies a single target rate rather than a target range, that target rate will be used.

opens: Jul 29 · 6:00 PM UTC
closes: Jan 1, 2036 · 4:59 AM UTC · may close early
expires: Jan 8, 2036 · 6:30 AM UTC
floor: 4.5

Recent trades

Most recent first. Price is the YES side.

Time	Yes	No	Size	Taker
27d ago	38¢	62¢	25	no
27d ago	38¢

Raw payload

Exactly what the API returned for this market.

Show JSON

market42

can_close_earlytrue

close_time2036-01-01T04:59:00Z

created_time2026-07-29T17:47:53.30679Z

early_close_conditionThis market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.