GDP growth in 2026?

3.1% to 3.5%activebinarybetween

Public page Open on kalshi.com

Yes bid / ask

2¢ / 5¢

spread 3¢

Last trade

4¢

–

No bid / ask

95¢ / 98¢

24h volume

41.1k lifetime

Open interest

26.1k

top of book 3.11 × 8,494

Closes

in 5mo

Feb 28, 2027 · 1:29 PM UTC

YES price

Close per candle with bid/ask band; volume below. Times in UTC.

24h · 1m 7d · 1h 30d · 1h 90d · 1d

Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Top of book, both sides expressed as YES prices.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes

ask5,00030¢
ask2,45730¢
ask3926¢
ask5,00012¢

Resolution rules

Verbatim from the venue. The analyst must quote these, never paraphrase.

If the United States real GDP growth in 2026 is between 3.1% to 3.5%, then the market resolves to Yes.

This market is based on the Bureau of Economic Analysis’s advance estimate of real gross domestic product (GDP) growth in the United States for calendar year 2026. The Expiration Value will be the first-published annual percent change in real GDP for 2026 from BEA’s GDP release, expected with the advance estimate of Q4 2026 GDP in early 2027. Revisions published after expiration will not be considered. All stated bounds are inclusive. For example, “5.6% to 6.0%” includes both 5.6% and 6.0%, “6.1% or above” includes 6.1%, and “0.0% or below” includes 0.0%.

opens: Jan 14 · 3:00 PM UTC
closes: Feb 28, 2027 · 1:29 PM UTC · may close early
expires: Feb 28, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC
floor: 3.1
cap: 3.5

Recent trades

Most recent first. Price is the YES side.

Time	Yes	No	Size	Taker
4d ago	4¢	96¢	1

Raw payload

Exactly what the API returned for this market.

Show JSON

market42

can_close_earlytrue

cap_strike3.5

close_time2027-02-28T13:29:00Z

created_time2026-01-13T22:55:43.303647Z

event_ticker