Fetching from Kalshi…
Fetching from Kalshi…
Close per candle with bid/ask band; volume below. Times in UTC.
Top of book, both sides expressed as YES prices.
Verbatim from the venue. The analyst must quote these, never paraphrase.
If the United States real GDP growth in 2036 is below 0.1%, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market is based on the Bureau of Economic Analysis’s advance estimate of real gross domestic product (GDP) growth in the United States for calendar year 2036. The Expiration Value will be the first-published annual percent change in real GDP for 2036 from BEA’s GDP release, expected with the advance estimate of Q4 2036 GDP in early 2037. Revisions published after expiration will not be considered.
Most recent first. Price is the YES side.
| Time | Yes | No | Size | Taker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
2036
| Market | Yes bid | Yes ask | Last | Δ | Spread | Vol 24h | OI | Vol total | Closes | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GDP growth in 2036?0.1% to 0.5%KXGDPYEAR-36-B0.3 | 3¢ | 5¢ | 5¢ | – | 2¢ | 0 | 624 | 11.6k | in 137mo | active |
| GDP growth in 2036?0.6% to 1.0%KXGDPYEAR-36-B0.8 |
Exactly what the API returned for this market.
| 12d ago |
| 10¢ |
| 90¢ |
| 4 |
| no |
| 18d ago | 11¢ | 89¢ | 1 | yes |
| 18d ago | 11¢ | 89¢ | 3 | yes |
| 18d ago | 11¢ | 89¢ | 15 | yes |
| 19d ago | 10¢ | 90¢ | 5 | yes |
| 20d ago | 9¢ | 91¢ | 20 | no |
| 24d ago | 8¢ | 92¢ | 1 | no |
| 24d ago | 8¢ | 92¢ | 1 | no |
| 24d ago | 8¢ | 92¢ | 1 | no |
| 24d ago | 8¢ | 92¢ | 1 | no |
| 24d ago | 8¢ | 92¢ | 1 | no |
| 24d ago | 8¢ | 92¢ | 1 | no |
| 1mo ago | 13¢ | 87¢ | 21 | yes |
| 1mo ago | 14¢ | 86¢ | 59 | yes |
| 1mo ago | 14¢ | 86¢ | 7 | yes |
| 1mo ago | 12¢ | 88¢ | 62 | yes |
| 1mo ago | 13¢ | 87¢ | 83 | yes |
| 1mo ago | 13¢ | 87¢ | 11 | yes |
| 1mo ago | 14¢ | 86¢ | 7 | yes |
| 1mo ago | 14¢ | 86¢ | 1 | yes |
| 1mo ago | 14¢ | 86¢ | 2 | yes |
| 1mo ago | 12¢ | 88¢ | 1 | yes |
| 1mo ago | 12¢ | 88¢ | 134 | yes |
| 1mo ago | 12¢ | 88¢ | 33 | yes |
| 1mo ago | 6¢ | 94¢ | 3.82 | no |
| 5¢ |
| 6¢ |
| 6¢ |
| – |
| 1¢ |
| 0 |
| 529 |
| 8,166 |
| in 137mo |
| active |
| GDP growth in 2036?1.1% to 1.5%KXGDPYEAR-36-B1.3 | 5¢ | 7¢ | 7¢ | – | 2¢ | 0 | 745 | 8,706 | in 137mo | active |
| GDP growth in 2036?1.6% to 2.0%KXGDPYEAR-36-B1.8 | 18¢ | 28¢ | 19¢ | – | 10¢ | 0 | 2,318 | 7,429 | in 137mo | active |
| GDP growth in 2036?2.1% to 2.5%KXGDPYEAR-36-B2.3 | 8¢ | 11¢ | 10¢ | – | 3¢ | 0 | 1,399 | 11.3k | in 137mo | active |
| GDP growth in 2036?2.6% to 3.0%KXGDPYEAR-36-B2.8 | 6¢ | 9¢ | 7¢ | – | 3¢ | 0 | 1,023 | 15.5k | in 137mo | active |
| GDP growth in 2036?3.1% to 3.5%KXGDPYEAR-36-B3.3 | 2¢ | 5¢ | 2¢ | – | 3¢ | 0 | 1,044 | 12.6k | in 137mo | active |
| GDP growth in 2036?3.6% to 4.0%KXGDPYEAR-36-B3.8 | 3¢ | 4¢ | 4¢ | – | 1¢ | 0 | 985 | 12.1k | in 137mo | active |
| GDP growth in 2036?4.1% to 4.5%KXGDPYEAR-36-B4.3 | 3¢ | 7¢ | 2¢ | – | 4¢ | 0 | 815 | 9,980 | in 137mo | active |
| GDP growth in 2036?4.6% to 5.0%KXGDPYEAR-36-B4.8 | 1¢ | 3¢ | 2¢ | – | 2¢ | 0 | 785 | 12.6k | in 137mo | active |
| GDP growth in 2036?5.1% to 5.5%KXGDPYEAR-36-B5.3 | 1¢ | 2¢ | 1¢ | – | 1¢ | 0 | 622 | 9,718 | in 137mo | active |
| GDP growth in 2036?5.6% to 6.0%KXGDPYEAR-36-B5.8 | 1¢ | 3¢ | 3¢ | – | 2¢ | 0 | 281 | 7,855 | in 137mo | active |
| GDP growth in 2036?6.1% or AboveKXGDPYEAR-36-T6.0 | 3¢ | 5¢ | 5¢ | – | 2¢ | 0 | 609 | 14.2k | in 137mo | active |