Verbatim from the venue. The analyst must quote these, never paraphrase.
If FDP wins the next election to the German Bundestag, then the market resolves to Yes.
For parliamentary/legislative elections, the winner is the party, coalition, or alliance winning the most seats in the specified chamber. If two parties have the same number of seats, the one entering government will resolve to Yes and all others to No; if both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to Yes and all others to No.
For purposes of this market, the seats won by the Christian Democratic Union (CDU) and Christian Social Union (CSU) will be combined and treated as a single CDU/CSU option
This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details.
opens
Jul 28 · 4:23 PM UTC
closes
Mar 25, 2030 · 2:00 PM UTC · may close early
expires
Mar 25, 2030 · 2:00 PM UTC
Recent trades
Most recent first. Price is the YES side.
Time
Yes
No
Size
Taker
2mo ago
1¢
99¢
25
Raw payload
Exactly what the API returned for this market.
Show JSON
market43
can_close_earlytrue
close_time2030-03-25T14:00:00Z
created_time2026-07-28T16:03:02.248959Z
custom_strike1
ask5004¢
ask502¢
ask1,3901¢
spread–mid –
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes
no
2mo ago
1¢
99¢
140
no
2mo ago
1¢
99¢
15
no
2mo ago
1¢
99¢
50
no
2mo ago
1¢
99¢
55
no
2mo ago
1¢
99¢
25
no
2mo ago
1¢
99¢
620
no
2mo ago
1¢
99¢
570
no
2mo ago
2¢
98¢
25
yes
2mo ago
2¢
98¢
620
yes
2mo ago
2¢
98¢
2,500
yes
2mo ago
1¢
99¢
450
no
2mo ago
1¢
99¢
50
no
2mo ago
1¢
99¢
50
no
2mo ago
1¢
99¢
950
no
2mo ago
2¢
98¢
25
no
2mo ago
2¢
98¢
2,500
no
2mo ago
2¢
98¢
100
no
2mo ago
2¢
98¢
200
no
2mo ago
2¢
98¢
500
no
2mo ago
2¢
98¢
1,000
no
2mo ago
2¢
98¢
1,320
no
Option
FDP
early_close_conditionThis market will close and expire early if the election winner is officially declared or certified.
event_tickerKXGERELECTION-29MAR25
exchange_index0
expected_expiration_time2030-03-25T14:00:00Z
expiration_time2030-03-25T14:00:00Z
expiration_value
last_price_dollars0.0100
latest_expiration_time2030-03-25T14:00:00Z
liquidity_dollars0.0000
market_typebinary
no_ask_dollars1.0000
no_bid_dollars0.9900
no_sub_titleFDP
notional_value_dollars1.0000
occurrence_datetime2029-03-25T14:00:00Z
open_interest_fp2500.00
open_time2026-07-28T16:23:00Z
previous_price_dollars0.0100
previous_yes_ask_dollars0.0100
previous_yes_bid_dollars0.0000
price_level_structurelinear_cent
price_ranges1
[0]3
end1.0000
start0.0000
step0.0100
result
rules_primaryIf FDP wins the next election to the German Bundestag, then the market resolves to Yes.
rules_secondaryFor parliamentary/legislative elections, the winner is the party, coalition, or alliance winning the most seats in the specified chamber. If two parties have the same number of seats, the one entering government will resolve to Yes and all others to No; if both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to Yes and all others to No.
For purposes of this market, the seats won by the Christian Democratic Union (CDU) and Christian Social Union (CSU) will be combined and treated as a single CDU/CSU option
This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details.
settlement_timer_seconds1800
statusactive
strike_typecustom
subtitle:: Free Democratic Party
tickerKXGERELECTION-29MAR25-FDP
titleWill FDP win the next election to the German Bundestag?