Verbatim from the venue. The analyst must quote these, never paraphrase.
If Pete Hoekstra leaves as US Ambassador to Canada before Apr 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Pete Hoekstra must have an actual departure date and vacate the role within the time period.
For "leave," cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expulsion, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role. This includes both voluntary and involuntary early departure and the natural expiration of a term. Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position.
House of Commons petition e-7531 is NOT a resolution condition. Whether it is certified, presented, debated, answered or withdrawn has no bearing on settlement.
opens
Aug 19 · 2:00 PM UTC
closes
Apr 1, 2027 · 3:59 AM UTC · may close early
expires
Jan 8, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC
Recent trades
Most recent first. Price is the YES side.
No trades yet.
Raw payload
Exactly what the API returned for this market.
Show JSON
market42
can_close_earlytrue
close_time2027-04-01T03:59:00Z
created_time2026-08-19T06:18:33.461054Z
custom_strike1
spread8¢mid 16¢
bid512¢
bid20011¢
bid2932¢
bid501¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes
Date
Before Apr 1, 2027
early_close_conditionThis market will close and expire early if the specific individual leaves the role as defined in the payout criteria.
event_tickerKXHOEKSTRAOUT-26AUG
exchange_index0
expected_expiration_time2028-01-08T15:00:00Z
expiration_time2027-04-08T14:00:00Z
expiration_value
last_price_dollars0.0000
latest_expiration_time2027-04-08T14:00:00Z
liquidity_dollars0.0000
market_typebinary
no_ask_dollars0.8800
no_bid_dollars0.8000
no_sub_titleBefore Apr 1, 2027
notional_value_dollars1.0000
occurrence_datetime2027-01-25T15:00:00Z
open_interest_fp0.00
open_time2026-08-19T14:00:00Z
previous_price_dollars0.0000
previous_yes_ask_dollars0.2000
previous_yes_bid_dollars0.1100
price_level_structurelinear_cent
price_ranges1
[0]3
end1.0000
start0.0000
step0.0100
result
rules_primaryIf Pete Hoekstra leaves as US Ambassador to Canada before Apr 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
rules_secondaryPete Hoekstra must have an actual departure date and vacate the role within the time period.
For "leave," cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expulsion, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role. This includes both voluntary and involuntary early departure and the natural expiration of a term. Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position.
House of Commons petition e-7531 is NOT a resolution condition. Whether it is certified, presented, debated, answered or withdrawn has no bearing on settlement.
settlement_timer_seconds1800
statusactive
strike_typecustom
tickerKXHOEKSTRAOUT-26AUG-27APR01
titleWill Pete Hoekstra be out as US Ambassador to Canada before Apr 1, 2027?