Verbatim from the venue. The analyst must quote these, never paraphrase.
If Roberto Vannacci becomes Prime Minister of Italy as a result of government formation following the next Italian general election and meets all constitutional requirements before Dec 22, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
The market resolves to the first person who, as a result of government formation following the election, is formally appointed, sworn in, or invested as Prime Minister according to the country's constitutional procedures, commands the confidence of the parliament/legislature, and exercises the full powers of the office (not serving in a caretaker/acting capacity from the previous government).
If no government forms by Dec 22, 2028, the Contract resolves to "No one" if that is an option and No for all other strikes. If new elections are called before government formation, the Contract resolves to "No one" immediately and No for all other strikes.
opens
Aug 13 · 2:30 PM UTC
closes
Dec 22, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
expires
Dec 22, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC
Recent trades
Most recent first. Price is the YES side.
Time
Yes
No
Size
Taker
1mo ago
6¢
94¢
Raw payload
Exactly what the API returned for this market.
Show JSON
market42
can_close_earlytrue
close_time2028-12-22T15:00:00Z
created_time2026-08-13T14:07:43.410601Z
custom_strike1
38¢
ask2035¢
ask1830¢
ask2025¢
ask2007¢
ask2006¢
spread–mid –
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes
200
no
1mo ago
6¢
94¢
200
no
1mo ago
5¢
95¢
200
no
Person
Roberto Vannacci
early_close_conditionThis market will close and expire early if a person is formally appointed and invested as Prime Minister.
event_tickerKXITALYPM-27DEC22
exchange_index0
expected_expiration_time2028-12-22T15:00:00Z
expiration_time2028-12-22T15:00:00Z
expiration_value
last_price_dollars0.0600
latest_expiration_time2028-12-22T15:00:00Z
liquidity_dollars0.0000
market_typebinary
no_ask_dollars1.0000
no_bid_dollars0.9400
no_sub_titleRoberto Vannacci
notional_value_dollars1.0000
occurrence_datetime2028-12-22T15:00:00Z
open_interest_fp600.00
open_time2026-08-13T14:30:00Z
previous_price_dollars0.0600
previous_yes_ask_dollars0.2400
previous_yes_bid_dollars0.0000
price_level_structurelinear_cent
price_ranges1
[0]3
end1.0000
start0.0000
step0.0100
result
rules_primaryIf Roberto Vannacci becomes Prime Minister of Italy as a result of government formation following the next Italian general election and meets all constitutional requirements before Dec 22, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
rules_secondaryThe market resolves to the first person who, as a result of government formation following the election, is formally appointed, sworn in, or invested as Prime Minister according to the country's constitutional procedures, commands the confidence of the parliament/legislature, and exercises the full powers of the office (not serving in a caretaker/acting capacity from the previous government).
If no government forms by Dec 22, 2028, the Contract resolves to "No one" if that is an option and No for all other strikes. If new elections are called before government formation, the Contract resolves to "No one" immediately and No for all other strikes.
settlement_timer_seconds1800
statusactive
strike_typecustom
tickerKXITALYPM-27DEC22-RVAN
titleWill Roberto Vannacci become Prime Minister of Italy following the next Italian general election?