Verbatim from the venue. The analyst must quote these, never paraphrase.
If the first new person to hold Prime Minister of Israel after Issuance is Itamar Ben-Gvir, then the market resolves to Yes.
The market resolves based on who actually assumes the office of Prime Minister, not who is elected or nominated. Acting or interim appointments count as holding the position if they formally assume the office. The person must be different from whoever held the position at market issuance - if the same person continues in office through the expiration date, all markets resolve to No. Resolution is based on official announcements from the country's legislature or government, with The New York Times as a secondary source for confirmation.
opens
Oct 24, 2025 · 2:00 PM UTC
closes
Jan 1, 2045 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
expires
Jan 1, 2045 · 3:00 PM UTC
Recent trades
Most recent first. Price is the YES side.
Time
Yes
No
Size
Taker
4h ago
9¢
91¢
10
yes
Raw payload
Exactly what the API returned for this market.
Show JSON
market42
can_close_earlytrue
close_time2045-01-01T15:00:00Z
created_time2025-10-23T23:33:18.736669Z
custom_strike1
ask
48
55¢
ask214¢
ask20011¢
ask399¢
ask2006¢
ask26¢
spread4¢mid 4¢
bid2992¢
bid3501¢
bid1,0001¢
bid1,0000¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes
10d ago
9¢
91¢
0.51
yes
12d ago
5¢
95¢
10
yes
12d ago
6¢
95¢
321
yes
12d ago
5¢
95¢
100
yes
12d ago
5¢
95¢
100
yes
17d ago
3¢
97¢
7.08
no
18d ago
4¢
96¢
36
yes
18d ago
3¢
97¢
999
yes
18d ago
4¢
96¢
200
yes
18d ago
4¢
96¢
34
yes
18d ago
6¢
95¢
490
yes
23d ago
2¢
98¢
1.13
no
28d ago
2¢
98¢
2.04
no
1mo ago
3¢
97¢
1.03
yes
1mo ago
2¢
98¢
46
no
2mo ago
3¢
98¢
10
no
2mo ago
2¢
98¢
11
no
2mo ago
2¢
98¢
4.53
no
2mo ago
2¢
98¢
2.55
no
2mo ago
2¢
98¢
3.06
no
2mo ago
2¢
98¢
2.01
no
2mo ago
3¢
97¢
2
no
2mo ago
4¢
96¢
1
yes
2mo ago
4¢
96¢
1
yes
Individual
Itamar Ben-Gvir
early_close_conditionThis market will close and expire early if a new Prime Minister takes office.
event_tickerKXNEXTISRAELPM-45JAN01
exchange_index0
expected_expiration_time2045-01-01T15:00:00Z
expiration_time2045-01-01T15:00:00Z
expiration_value
last_price_dollars0.0900
latest_expiration_time2045-01-01T15:00:00Z
liquidity_dollars0.0000
market_typebinary
no_ask_dollars0.9800
no_bid_dollars0.9380
no_sub_titleItamar Ben-Gvir
notional_value_dollars1.0000
open_interest_fp6228.08
open_time2025-10-24T14:00:00Z
previous_price_dollars0.0920
previous_yes_ask_dollars0.0900
previous_yes_bid_dollars0.0200
price_level_structuretapered_deci_cent
price_ranges3
[0]3
end0.1000
start0.0000
step0.0010
[1]3
end0.9000
start0.1000
step0.0100
[2]3
end1.0000
start0.9000
step0.0010
result
rules_primaryIf the first new person to hold Prime Minister of Israel after Issuance is Itamar Ben-Gvir, then the market resolves to Yes.
rules_secondaryThe market resolves based on who actually assumes the office of Prime Minister, not who is elected or nominated. Acting or interim appointments count as holding the position if they formally assume the office. The person must be different from whoever held the position at market issuance - if the same person continues in office through the expiration date, all markets resolve to No. Resolution is based on official announcements from the country's legislature or government, with The New York Times as a secondary source for confirmation.
settlement_timer_seconds1800
statusactive
strike_typecustom
subtitle::
tickerKXNEXTISRAELPM-45JAN01-IBEN
titleWill Itamar Ben-Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?