Will No new person be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom before Jan 1, 2035?

If No new person formally holds the position of Prime Minister of the United Kingdom before Jan 1, 2035, and is the first such subject to do so after Issuance, then the market resolves to Yes.

The holder of the position at the time of Issuance is excluded. For the purposes of this Contract, only a subject who holds the position in a permanent, confirmed, elected, or otherwise non-acting and non-temporary capacity—as formally designated by the body or organization at which the position is held—is treated as formally holding the position; assumption of the role solely in an acting, interim, transitional, provisional, caretaker, pro tempore, or otherwise temporary capacity does not, by itself, satisfy the Payout Criterion. Andy Burnham is the holder at Issuance. A former holder who returns after Issuance is not disqualified solely on the basis of that prior service. If a person not listed here is first to formally hold the office after Issuance, every market resolves NO.

opens

Aug 20 · 1:00 AM UTC

closes

Jan 8, 2035 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early

expires

Jan 8, 2035 · 3:00 PM UTC

category

Elections

event

mutually exclusive outcomes