Will Alicia Vikander perform as a principal female character opposite James Bond referred to by major entertainment media as a “Bond girl” in the next James Bond film?
Verbatim from the venue. The analyst must quote these, never paraphrase.
If Alicia Vikander performs/ is announced as a principal female character opposite James Bond referred to by major entertainment media as a “Bond girl” in the next James Bond film, then the market resolves to Yes.
For the purposes of this Contract, Alicia Vikander satisfies the Payout Criterion if either:
Official Announcement:
Alicia Vikander is officially announced, confirmed, or publicly credited as cast to perform a principal female character opposite James Bond referred to by major entertainment media as a “Bond girl” in the next James Bond film, regardless of whether the performance ultimately occurs; OR
Actual Performance:
Alicia Vikander appears on stage, on screen, or in recorded content as a principal female character opposite James Bond referred to by major entertainment media as a “Bond girl” in any official performance, showing, or release of the next James Bond film.
Additional clarification(s):
If the next James Bond film is entirely cancelled or abandoned before any official performance or release occurs, but Alicia Vikander was officially announced in a principal female character opposite James Bond referred to by major entertainment media as a “Bond girl”, the Contract will resolve to “Yes.”
If multiple people are announced for a principal female character opposite James Bond referred to by major entertainment media as a “Bond girl” (e.g., alternating cast, dual casting), and Alicia Vikander is among them, the Contract will resolve to “Yes.” b
The Contract may resolve to “No” prior to the Expiration Date if:
(a) the next James Bond film is cancelled or completes its run without Alicia Vikander being announced or performing in a principal female character opposite James Bond referred to by major entertainment media as a “Bond girl”, or
(b) another person is officially announced as the sole exclusive performer for a principal female character opposite James Bond referred to by major entertainment media as a “Bond girl”.
opens
Feb 14 · 3:00 PM UTC
closes
Jan 1, 2031 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
expires
Jan 2, 2030 · 4:59 AM UTC
Recent trades
Raw payload
Exactly what the API returned for this market.
Show JSON
market38
can_close_earlytrue
close_time2031-01-01T15:00:00Z
created_time2026-02-13T16:09:46.428601Z
event_tickerKXPERFORMROLE007
exchange_index
ask
2
15¢
ask1009¢
spread–mid –
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes
Most recent first. Price is the YES side.
No trades yet.
0
expected_expiration_time2030-01-02T04:59:00Z
expiration_time2031-01-01T15:00:00Z
expiration_value
last_price_dollars0.0900
latest_expiration_time2031-01-01T15:00:00Z
liquidity_dollars0.0000
market_typebinary
no_ask_dollars1.0000
no_bid_dollars0.9100
no_sub_titleAlicia Vikander
notional_value_dollars1.0000
open_interest_fp313.17
open_time2026-02-14T15:00:00Z
previous_price_dollars0.0900
previous_yes_ask_dollars0.0900
previous_yes_bid_dollars0.0000
price_level_structurelinear_cent
price_ranges1
[0]3
end1.0000
start0.0000
step0.0100
result
rules_primaryIf Alicia Vikander performs/ is announced as a principal female character opposite James Bond referred to by major entertainment media as a “Bond girl” in the next James Bond film, then the market resolves to Yes.
rules_secondaryFor the purposes of this Contract, Alicia Vikander satisfies the Payout Criterion if either:
Official Announcement:
Alicia Vikander is officially announced, confirmed, or publicly credited as cast to perform a principal female character opposite James Bond referred to by major entertainment media as a “Bond girl” in the next James Bond film, regardless of whether the performance ultimately occurs; OR
Actual Performance:
Alicia Vikander appears on stage, on screen, or in recorded content as a principal female character opposite James Bond referred to by major entertainment media as a “Bond girl” in any official performance, showing, or release of the next James Bond film.
Additional clarification(s):
If the next James Bond film is entirely cancelled or abandoned before any official performance or release occurs, but Alicia Vikander was officially announced in a principal female character opposite James Bond referred to by major entertainment media as a “Bond girl”, the Contract will resolve to “Yes.”
If multiple people are announced for a principal female character opposite James Bond referred to by major entertainment media as a “Bond girl” (e.g., alternating cast, dual casting), and Alicia Vikander is among them, the Contract will resolve to “Yes.” b
The Contract may resolve to “No” prior to the Expiration Date if:
(a) the next James Bond film is cancelled or completes its run without Alicia Vikander being announced or performing in a principal female character opposite James Bond referred to by major entertainment media as a “Bond girl”, or
(b) another person is officially announced as the sole exclusive performer for a principal female character opposite James Bond referred to by major entertainment media as a “Bond girl”.
settlement_timer_seconds1800
statusactive
tickerKXPERFORMROLE007-ALI
titleWill Alicia Vikander perform as a principal female character opposite James Bond referred to by major entertainment media as a “Bond girl” in the next James Bond film?