Verbatim from the venue. The analyst must quote these, never paraphrase.
If **ALL** of the following occur:
1. Trump's VoteHub approval rating rises above 48% in 2026 AND
2. Republicans retain control of both the House of Representatives and Senate after the midterms AND
3. U.S. GDP growth is above 5% in any quarter between Q4 2025 and Q4 2026 (inclusive) AND
4. The U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) stays below 5% in 2026
then the market resolves to Yes.
This is a combination market requiring ALL specified outcomes to occur for the contract to pay out. If ANY single component resolves to No or becomes impossible, the entire contract immediately resolves to No.
Each component is resolved according to its corresponding Kalshi ruleset:
- "Will Trump's VoteHub approval rating rise above 48% in 2026?" uses POLLINGAPPROVALINPERIOD
- "Will Republicans retain control of the House of Representatives and Senate after the midterms?" uses CONTROL
- "Will U.S. GDP grow by more than 5% in any quarter from Q4 2025 to Q4 2026 (inclusive)?" uses LGDP
- "Will the U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) stay below 5% in 2026?" uses ECONSTAT
For economic data releases, resolution uses the first officially released value (not preliminary or revised estimates unless specified). All conditions must be satisfied within the specified time period.
Additional specifications: POLLINGAPPROVALINPERIOD - the threshold need only be met once during the period; CONTROL - based on the Speaker of the House and President Pro Tempore of the Senate on Feb 1, 2027; LGDP - based on real GDP, quarter-over-quarter percent change, seasonally adjusted at annual rates (SAAR)
Trump's VoteHub approval rating rise above 48% in 2026 + Republicans retain control of both the House of Representatives and Senate after the midterms + U.S. GDP growth is above 5% in any quarter from Q4 2025 to Q4 2026 (inclusive) + The U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) stays below 5% in 2026
early_close_conditionThis market will close and expire early if any component becomes impossible to occur (resolving to No) or all components have been satisfied (resolving to Yes).
event_tickerKXTRUMPBULLCASECOMBO-27DEC
exchange_index0
expected_expiration_time2027-12-31T15:00:00Z
expiration_time2028-01-07T15:00:00Z
expiration_value
last_price_dollars0.0310
latest_expiration_time2028-01-07T15:00:00Z
liquidity_dollars0.0000
market_typebinary
no_ask_dollars0.9800
no_bid_dollars0.9700
no_sub_titleYes
notional_value_dollars1.0000
open_interest_fp178155.85
open_time2025-12-17T15:00:00Z
previous_price_dollars0.0120
previous_yes_ask_dollars0.0290
previous_yes_bid_dollars0.0130
price_level_structuretapered_deci_cent
price_ranges3
[0]3
end0.1000
start0.0000
step0.0010
[1]3
end0.9000
start0.1000
step0.0100
[2]3
end1.0000
start0.9000
step0.0010
result
rules_primaryIf **ALL** of the following occur:
1. Trump's VoteHub approval rating rises above 48% in 2026 AND
2. Republicans retain control of both the House of Representatives and Senate after the midterms AND
3. U.S. GDP growth is above 5% in any quarter between Q4 2025 and Q4 2026 (inclusive) AND
4. The U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) stays below 5% in 2026
then the market resolves to Yes.
rules_secondaryThis is a combination market requiring ALL specified outcomes to occur for the contract to pay out. If ANY single component resolves to No or becomes impossible, the entire contract immediately resolves to No.
Each component is resolved according to its corresponding Kalshi ruleset:
- "Will Trump's VoteHub approval rating rise above 48% in 2026?" uses POLLINGAPPROVALINPERIOD
- "Will Republicans retain control of the House of Representatives and Senate after the midterms?" uses CONTROL
- "Will U.S. GDP grow by more than 5% in any quarter from Q4 2025 to Q4 2026 (inclusive)?" uses LGDP
- "Will the U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) stay below 5% in 2026?" uses ECONSTAT
For economic data releases, resolution uses the first officially released value (not preliminary or revised estimates unless specified). All conditions must be satisfied within the specified time period.
Additional specifications: POLLINGAPPROVALINPERIOD - the threshold need only be met once during the period; CONTROL - based on the Speaker of the House and President Pro Tempore of the Senate on Feb 1, 2027; LGDP - based on real GDP, quarter-over-quarter percent change, seasonally adjusted at annual rates (SAAR)