Verbatim from the venue. The analyst must quote these, never paraphrase.
If Donald Trump publicly endorses Marco Rubio in the 2028 presidential election before Mar 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
An "endorsement" requires:
A clear, affirmative statement of support for candidate's election
The statement must be public (not private communications)
The endorsement must specifically reference the 2028 presidential election or be clearly in context of the 2028 presidential election
The endorsement must come directly from Donald Trump or through official channels
The following scenarios would resolve to YES:
Donald Trump states "I endorse candidate for [office]"
Donald Trump states "I support candidate" with clear reference to the 2028 presidential election
Donald Trump states "I'm voting for candidate" publicly
Donald Trump states "candidate has my full support" for the 2028 presidential election
Donald Trump appears at campaign events specifically to endorse
Donald Trump releases official endorsement through their organization
Donald Trump allows their name/image to be used in candidate's campaign materials
Statements of obvious sarcasm (or which are immediately followed by clarifications that Donald Trump is joking) are NOT encompassed by the Payout Criterion.
The Contract shall resolve immediately upon confirmation of the first qualifying endorsement in the specified race. If multiple candidates are listed for a listed race and exactly one is endorsed, that candidate's strike resolves "Yes" at $1.00 and all other named-candidate strikes resolve "No." If multiple are endorsed, each endorsed candidate's strike resolves "Yes" at a value of ($1.00 / N) rounded down to the nearest $0.01.
If no endorsement occurs before expiration, the "No one" strike resolves "Yes" at $1.00 and all named-candidate strikes resolve "No."
early_close_conditionThis market will close and expire early if the endorsement occurs.
event_tickerKXTRUMPENDORSE28-28MAR01
exchange_index0
expected_expiration_time2028-03-01T15:00:00Z
expiration_time2028-03-01T15:00:00Z
expiration_value
last_price_dollars0.2800
latest_expiration_time2028-03-01T15:00:00Z
liquidity_dollars0.0000
market_typebinary
no_ask_dollars0.7200
no_bid_dollars0.6900
no_sub_titleMarco Rubio
notional_value_dollars1.0000
occurrence_datetime2028-03-01T15:00:00Z
open_interest_fp5132.00
open_time2026-07-27T17:30:00Z
previous_price_dollars0.3100
previous_yes_ask_dollars0.3100
previous_yes_bid_dollars0.2800
price_level_structurelinear_cent
price_ranges1
[0]3
end1.0000
start0.0000
step0.0100
result
rules_primaryIf Donald Trump publicly endorses Marco Rubio in the 2028 presidential election before Mar 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
rules_secondaryAn "endorsement" requires:
A clear, affirmative statement of support for candidate's election
The statement must be public (not private communications)
The endorsement must specifically reference the 2028 presidential election or be clearly in context of the 2028 presidential election
The endorsement must come directly from Donald Trump or through official channels
The following scenarios would resolve to YES:
Donald Trump states "I endorse candidate for [office]"
Donald Trump states "I support candidate" with clear reference to the 2028 presidential election
Donald Trump states "I'm voting for candidate" publicly
Donald Trump states "candidate has my full support" for the 2028 presidential election
Donald Trump appears at campaign events specifically to endorse
Donald Trump releases official endorsement through their organization
Donald Trump allows their name/image to be used in candidate's campaign materials
Statements of obvious sarcasm (or which are immediately followed by clarifications that Donald Trump is joking) are NOT encompassed by the Payout Criterion.
The Contract shall resolve immediately upon confirmation of the first qualifying endorsement in the specified race. If multiple candidates are listed for a listed race and exactly one is endorsed, that candidate's strike resolves "Yes" at $1.00 and all other named-candidate strikes resolve "No." If multiple are endorsed, each endorsed candidate's strike resolves "Yes" at a value of ($1.00 / N) rounded down to the nearest $0.01.
If no endorsement occurs before expiration, the "No one" strike resolves "Yes" at $1.00 and all named-candidate strikes resolve "No."
settlement_timer_seconds1800
statusactive
strike_typecustom
subtitle::
tickerKXTRUMPENDORSE28-28MAR01-MRUB
titleWill Donald Trump endorse Marco Rubio in the 2028 presidential election before Mar 1, 2028?