Verbatim from the venue. The analyst must quote these, never paraphrase.
If the seasonally adjusted U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) for December 2026 is above 4.0%, then the market resolves to Yes.
“Year-end” refers exclusively to the December reference month, regardless of when the corresponding data are released. It does not refer to the annual average, the fourth-quarter average, the highest unemployment rate reported during the year, or the latest unemployment rate available as of December 31.
The Expiration Value is the first non-preliminary seasonally adjusted U-3 unemployment rate reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics for December 2026. Values will be compared as published without rounding. Later revisions will not affect the outcome.
opens
Sep 3 · 1:00 AM UTC
closes
Jan 8, 2027 · 1:29 PM UTC · may close early
expires
Jan 15, 2027 · 1:30 PM UTC
floor
4
Recent trades
Most recent first. Price is the YES side.
Time
Yes
No
Size
Taker
9d ago
81¢
19¢
1.07
Raw payload
Exactly what the API returned for this market.
Show JSON
market42
can_close_earlytrue
close_time2027-01-08T13:29:00Z
created_time2026-09-03T00:16:39.99291Z
early_close_conditionThis market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.
no
16d ago
87¢
13¢
1.07
yes
16d ago
82¢
18¢
1.11
no
16d ago
89¢
11¢
1.11
yes
event_ticker
KXU3EOY-27JAN08
exchange_index0
expected_expiration_time2027-01-15T13:30:00Z
expiration_time2027-01-15T13:30:00Z
expiration_value
floor_strike4
last_price_dollars0.8100
latest_expiration_time2027-01-15T13:30:00Z
liquidity_dollars0.0000
market_typebinary
no_ask_dollars1.0000
no_bid_dollars0.1500
no_sub_titleAbove 4.0%
notional_value_dollars1.0000
occurrence_datetime2027-01-08T13:30:00Z
open_interest_fp1.11
open_time2026-09-03T01:00:00Z
previous_price_dollars0.8100
previous_yes_ask_dollars0.8500
previous_yes_bid_dollars0.0000
price_level_structurelinear_cent
price_ranges1
[0]3
end1.0000
start0.0000
step0.0100
result
rules_primaryIf the seasonally adjusted U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) for December 2026 is above 4.0%, then the market resolves to Yes.
rules_secondary“Year-end” refers exclusively to the December reference month, regardless of when the corresponding data are released. It does not refer to the annual average, the fourth-quarter average, the highest unemployment rate reported during the year, or the latest unemployment rate available as of December 31.
The Expiration Value is the first non-preliminary seasonally adjusted U-3 unemployment rate reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics for December 2026. Values will be compared as published without rounding. Later revisions will not affect the outcome.
settlement_timer_seconds1800
statusactive
strike_typegreater
tickerKXU3EOY-27JAN08-T4.0
titleWill the seasonally adjusted U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) for December 2026 be above 4.0%?