Fetching from Kalshi…
Fetching from Kalshi…
Close per candle with bid/ask band; volume below. Times in UTC.
Top of book, both sides expressed as YES prices.
Verbatim from the venue. The analyst must quote these, never paraphrase.
If the seasonally adjusted U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) for December 2027 is above 6.0%, then the market resolves to Yes.
“Year-end” refers exclusively to the December reference month, regardless of when the corresponding data are released. It does not refer to the annual average, the fourth-quarter average, the highest unemployment rate reported during the year, or the latest unemployment rate available as of December 31. The Expiration Value is the first non-preliminary seasonally adjusted U-3 unemployment rate reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics for December 2027. Values will be compared as published without rounding. Later revisions will not affect the outcome.
Most recent first. Price is the YES side.
| Time | Yes | No | Size |
|---|
December 2027
| Market | Yes bid | Yes ask | Last | Δ | Spread | Vol 24h | OI | Vol total | Closes | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the seasonally adjusted U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) for December 2027 be above 3.0%?Above 3.0%KXU3EOY-28JAN07-T3.0 | 0¢ | 100¢ | 0¢ | – | 100¢ | 0 | 0 | 0 | in 16mo | active |
| Will the seasonally adjusted U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) for December 2027 be above 3.5%? |
Exactly what the API returned for this market.
| Taker |
|---|
| 14d ago | 39¢ | 61¢ | 15 | no |
| 0¢ |
| 100¢ |
| 0¢ |
| – |
| 100¢ |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| in 16mo |
| active |
| Will the seasonally adjusted U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) for December 2027 be above 4.0%?Above 4.0%KXU3EOY-28JAN07-T4.0 | 0¢ | 100¢ | 0¢ | – | 100¢ | 0 | 0 | 0 | in 16mo | active |
| Will the seasonally adjusted U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) for December 2027 be above 4.5%?Above 4.5%KXU3EOY-28JAN07-T4.5 | 0¢ | 100¢ | 0¢ | – | 100¢ | 0 | 0 | 0 | in 16mo | active |
| Will the seasonally adjusted U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) for December 2027 be above 5.0%?Above 5.0%KXU3EOY-28JAN07-T5.0 | 0¢ | 100¢ | 0¢ | – | 100¢ | 0 | 0 | 0 | in 16mo | active |
| Will the seasonally adjusted U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) for December 2027 be above 5.5%?Above 5.5%KXU3EOY-28JAN07-T5.5 | 0¢ | 100¢ | 0¢ | – | 100¢ | 0 | 0 | 0 | in 16mo | active |
| Will the seasonally adjusted U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) for December 2027 be above 6.5%?Above 6.5%KXU3EOY-28JAN07-T6.5 | 0¢ | 100¢ | 0¢ | – | 100¢ | 0 | 0 | 0 | in 16mo | active |
| Will the seasonally adjusted U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) for December 2027 be above 7.0%?Above 7.0%KXU3EOY-28JAN07-T7.0 | 0¢ | 100¢ | 0¢ | – | 100¢ | 0 | 0 | 0 | in 16mo | active |
| Will the seasonally adjusted U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) for December 2027 be above 7.5%?Above 7.5%KXU3EOY-28JAN07-T7.5 | 0¢ | 100¢ | 0¢ | – | 100¢ | 0 | 0 | 0 | in 16mo | active |
| Will the seasonally adjusted U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) for December 2027 be above 8.0%?Above 8.0%KXU3EOY-28JAN07-T8.0 | 1¢ | 8¢ | 6¢ | – | 7¢ | 0 | 700 | 700 | in 16mo | active |
| Will the seasonally adjusted U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) for December 2027 be above 8.5%?Above 8.5%KXU3EOY-28JAN07-T8.5 | 1¢ | 8¢ | 5¢ | – | 7¢ | 0 | 500 | 500 | in 16mo | active |
| Will the seasonally adjusted U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) for December 2027 be above 9.0%?Above 9.0%KXU3EOY-28JAN07-T9.0 | 1¢ | 6¢ | 6¢ | – | 5¢ | 0 | 800 | 1,250 | in 16mo | active |
| Will the seasonally adjusted U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) for December 2027 be above 9.5%?Above 9.5%KXU3EOY-28JAN07-T9.5 | 1¢ | 5¢ | 4¢ | – | 4¢ | 0 | 500 | 500 | in 16mo | active |
| Will the seasonally adjusted U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) for December 2027 be above 10.0%?Above 10.0%KXU3EOY-28JAN07-T10.0 | 0¢ | 100¢ | 0¢ | – | 100¢ | 0 | 0 | 0 | in 16mo | active |