Verbatim from the venue. The analyst must quote these, never paraphrase.
If Anneliese Midgley is the next to leave the Burnham Cabinet before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
A member leaves the Cabinet upon the qualifying announcement of their resignation, dismissal, removal, non-reappointment, or other formal cessation of Cabinet membership. A change of portfolio or position within the Cabinet alone does not count.
If two or more members leave on the same calendar date and the Source Agencies do not establish a clear chronological order, the tied member markets settle according to the Contract's split-settlement provisions. If no eligible member leaves during the specified period, all member markets resolve to No.
A temporary absence or leave where the member is expected to resume their Cabinet position does not count. Speculative or unconfirmed reports of a departure do not count. If the Prime Minister leaves office or the Cabinet is otherwise dissolved or wholly reconstituted before an individual member satisfies the Payout Criterion, all listed individual-member markets resolve to No.
opens
Aug 19 · 5:42 PM UTC
closes
Jan 1, 2028 · 4:59 AM UTC · may close early
expires
Jan 8, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC
Recent trades
Most recent first. Price is the YES side.
Time
Yes
No
Size
Taker
11d ago
2¢
Raw payload
Exactly what the API returned for this market.
Show JSON
market41
can_close_earlytrue
close_time2028-01-01T04:59:00Z
created_time2026-08-19T17:31:51.774486Z
custom_strike1
Yes bid (no ask)
Size
Yes
98¢
100
yes
11d ago
2¢
98¢
200
yes
1mo ago
1¢
99¢
200
no
1mo ago
2¢
98¢
200
no
1mo ago
2¢
98¢
100
no
1mo ago
2¢
98¢
500
no
1mo ago
4¢
96¢
800
no
1mo ago
4¢
96¢
200
no
member
Anneliese Midgley
event_tickerKXUKCABOUT-BURNN28JAN01
exchange_index0
expected_expiration_time2028-01-08T15:00:00Z
expiration_time2028-01-08T15:00:00Z
expiration_value
last_price_dollars0.0200
latest_expiration_time2028-01-08T15:00:00Z
liquidity_dollars0.0000
market_typebinary
no_ask_dollars1.0000
no_bid_dollars0.9200
no_sub_titleAnneliese Midgley
notional_value_dollars1.0000
occurrence_datetime2028-01-01T15:00:00Z
open_interest_fp1000.00
open_time2026-08-19T17:42:00Z
previous_price_dollars0.0200
previous_yes_ask_dollars1.0000
previous_yes_bid_dollars0.0000
price_level_structurelinear_cent
price_ranges1
[0]3
end1.0000
start0.0000
step0.0100
result
rules_primaryIf Anneliese Midgley is the next to leave the Burnham Cabinet before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
rules_secondaryA member leaves the Cabinet upon the qualifying announcement of their resignation, dismissal, removal, non-reappointment, or other formal cessation of Cabinet membership. A change of portfolio or position within the Cabinet alone does not count.
If two or more members leave on the same calendar date and the Source Agencies do not establish a clear chronological order, the tied member markets settle according to the Contract's split-settlement provisions. If no eligible member leaves during the specified period, all member markets resolve to No.
A temporary absence or leave where the member is expected to resume their Cabinet position does not count. Speculative or unconfirmed reports of a departure do not count. If the Prime Minister leaves office or the Cabinet is otherwise dissolved or wholly reconstituted before an individual member satisfies the Payout Criterion, all listed individual-member markets resolve to No.
settlement_timer_seconds1800
statusactive
strike_typecustom
tickerKXUKCABOUT-BURNN28JAN01-AMID
titleWill Anneliese Midgley be the next to leave the Burnham Cabinet?