Verbatim from the venue. The analyst must quote these, never paraphrase.
If the United States gains control of any territory outside its sovereignty as of Issuance before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
An announcement by the United States and the entity that controls the territory that it will happen is also encompassed by the Payout Criterion. The territory must come under formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system, where it was not previously. Merely leasing a given part in territory – for example, setting up a military base on leased territory – is not encompassed by the Payout Criterion.
opens
Jan 7 · 3:00 PM UTC
closes
Jan 1, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
expires
Jan 21, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC
Recent trades
Most recent first. Price is the YES side.
No trades yet.
Raw payload
Exactly what the API returned for this market.
Show JSON
market39
can_close_earlytrue
close_time2027-01-01T15:00:00Z
created_time2026-01-07T00:06:31.646178Z
early_close_conditionThis market will close and expire early if the event occurs.
ask1667¢
ask2006¢
ask1486¢
ask16¢
spread2¢mid 5¢
bid7.064¢
bid6004¢
bid3624¢
bid6613¢
bid5003¢
bid1,6663¢
bid1533¢
bid2403¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes
event_ticker
KXUSAEXPANDTERRITORY
exchange_index0
expected_expiration_time2029-01-21T15:00:00Z
expiration_time2027-01-01T15:00:00Z
expiration_value
last_price_dollars0.0600
latest_expiration_time2027-01-01T15:00:00Z
liquidity_dollars0.0000
market_typebinary
no_ask_dollars0.9620
no_bid_dollars0.9370
no_sub_titleBefore Jan 2027
notional_value_dollars1.0000
open_interest_fp35435.11
open_time2026-01-07T15:00:00Z
previous_price_dollars0.0690
previous_yes_ask_dollars0.0690
previous_yes_bid_dollars0.0400
price_level_structuretapered_deci_cent
price_ranges3
[0]3
end0.1000
start0.0000
step0.0010
[1]3
end0.9000
start0.1000
step0.0100
[2]3
end1.0000
start0.9000
step0.0010
result
rules_primaryIf the United States gains control of any territory outside its sovereignty as of Issuance before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
rules_secondaryAn announcement by the United States and the entity that controls the territory that it will happen is also encompassed by the Payout Criterion. The territory must come under formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system, where it was not previously. Merely leasing a given part in territory – for example, setting up a military base on leased territory – is not encompassed by the Payout Criterion.
settlement_timer_seconds1800
statusactive
tickerKXUSAEXPANDTERRITORY-27JAN01
titleWill the United States acquire any territory not under its sovereignty (as of Issuance) before Jan 1, 2027?