Will the U.S. federal government take a stake of at least 1% in each of OpenAI and Anthropic (including any successor or parent substantially owning its AI business) before Jan 20, 2029?
Verbatim from the venue. The analyst must quote these, never paraphrase.
If the U.S. federal government has taken a stake of at least 1% in each of OpenAI and Anthropic (including any successor or parent substantially owning its AI business) before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
Taking a stake means acquiring direct equity ownership, voting shares, or equivalent ownership interests. This includes indirect ownership through wholly controlled investment vehicles and convertible rights treated as equity. Pre-existing stakes count toward the threshold. Ownership is aggregated across all share classes and listings. Crossing the threshold at any point satisfies the criterion regardless of subsequent changes. Non-equity instruments like bonds or loans don't qualify. Stakes by sovereign wealth funds or state-owned enterprises attributed to the body count. The value can be expressed as percentage ownership, monetary value, or share count, with percentage being the default unless specified.
early_close_conditionThis market will close and expire early if the stake acquisition is announced.
event_tickerKXUSOPENAIANTH-29JAN29
exchange_index0
expected_expiration_time2029-01-29T15:00:00Z
expiration_time2029-01-27T15:00:00Z
expiration_value
last_price_dollars0.5400
latest_expiration_time2029-01-27T15:00:00Z
liquidity_dollars0.0000
market_typebinary
no_ask_dollars0.5300
no_bid_dollars0.4600
no_sub_titleBefore Jan 20, 2029
notional_value_dollars1.0000
occurrence_datetime2029-01-20T15:00:00Z
open_interest_fp2.01
open_time2026-07-09T00:00:00Z
previous_price_dollars0.5400
previous_yes_ask_dollars0.9800
previous_yes_bid_dollars0.3000
price_level_structurelinear_cent
price_ranges1
[0]3
end1.0000
start0.0000
step0.0100
result
rules_primaryIf the U.S. federal government has taken a stake of at least 1% in each of OpenAI and Anthropic (including any successor or parent substantially owning its AI business) before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
rules_secondaryTaking a stake means acquiring direct equity ownership, voting shares, or equivalent ownership interests. This includes indirect ownership through wholly controlled investment vehicles and convertible rights treated as equity. Pre-existing stakes count toward the threshold. Ownership is aggregated across all share classes and listings. Crossing the threshold at any point satisfies the criterion regardless of subsequent changes. Non-equity instruments like bonds or loans don't qualify. Stakes by sovereign wealth funds or state-owned enterprises attributed to the body count. The value can be expressed as percentage ownership, monetary value, or share count, with percentage being the default unless specified.
settlement_timer_seconds1800
statusactive
strike_typecustom
tickerKXUSOPENAIANTH-29JAN29-29JAN20
titleWill the U.S. federal government take a stake of at least 1% in each of OpenAI and Anthropic (including any successor or parent substantially owning its AI business) before Jan 20, 2029?