Verbatim from the venue. The analyst must quote these, never paraphrase.
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Josh Turek in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Scott County, Iowa is 48% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places. Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. If multiple rounds of voting occur (e.g., ranked choice voting), the percentage is based on the specified round or the first round if not specified.
rules_primaryIf the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Josh Turek in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Scott County, Iowa is 48% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
rules_secondaryThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places. Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. If multiple rounds of voting occur (e.g., ranked choice voting), the percentage is based on the specified round or the first round if not specified.
settlement_timer_seconds1800
statusactive
strike_typegreater_or_equal
tickerKXVOTECOUNTY-SENATEIA26SCOTTJTUR-48
titleWill Josh Turek receive at least 48% of the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Scott County, Iowa?