galdor.xyz
Admin
EU hits climate goals·closes in 76mo

Will the EU meet its climate goals?

YES means By 2030

24h volume
5
4,277 lifetime
Open interest
1,515
+20 over 7d
Spread
0¢
500 × 5 at the touch
24h range
41¢ – 41¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
41%−0

A YES contract costs 41¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
60%

costs 60¢

YES bid / ask
40¢ / 41¢
NO bid / ask
59¢ / 60¢
24h low 41¢24h high 41¢
Recent buying25% YES · 75% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
10¢20¢30¢40¢50¢volSep 15Sep 20

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask3583¢
  • ask79276¢
  • ask1870¢
  • ask2062¢
  • ask1061¢
  • ask50048¢
  • ask5041¢
  • ask541¢
spread1¢mid 41¢
  • bid50040¢
  • bid2.6140¢
  • bid1,14311¢
  • bid3011¢
  • bid522¢
  • bid3,3332¢
  • bid9,0002¢
  • bid15.0k1¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the EU has reduced greenhouse gas emissions by 55% compared to the 1990 level by 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources
opened
May 7, 2024 · 4:00 PM UTC
closes
Dec 31, 2032 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Dec 31, 2032 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
EUCLIMATE-2030
Trade it on kalshi.com

This event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

This is the only market in EU meets its 2030 climate goals?.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 25% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
2h ago41¢5bought no
4d ago41¢16bought no
4d ago41¢3.36bought no
4d ago41¢0.17bought no
5d ago49¢1.49bought yes
5d ago49¢0.15bought yes
5d ago41¢1.64bought no
6d ago49¢1.12bought yes
9d ago41¢1.63bought no
10d ago49¢8.26bought yes
10d ago45¢1.53bought yes
10d ago45¢1.47bought yes
11d ago46¢1.08bought yes
11d ago38¢1.47bought no
11d ago45¢0.1bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.