Missouri Governor·closes in 38mo

Will the Republican party win the governorship in Missouri

YES means Republican

24h volume
0
7,261 lifetime
Open interest
3,163
+0 over 7d
Spread
101 × 2,500 at the touch
24h range
2 recent trades
Chance of YES
92%

A YES contract costs 98¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
8%

costs

YES bid / ask
93¢ / 98¢
NO bid / ask
/
Recent buying50% YES · 50% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

25¢50¢75¢100¢volSep 14Sep 20

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask1,000100¢
  • ask550100¢
  • ask63898¢
  • ask2,50098¢
spreadmid 95¢
  • bid10193¢
  • bid2,50091¢
  • bid2,21435¢
  • bid50021¢
  • bid54
  • bid34
  • bid200.0k
  • bid1,000
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If a representative of the Republican party is inaugurated as the governor of Missouri pursuant to the 2028 election, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources
opened
Jul 15, 2025 · 2:00 PM UTC
closes
Nov 7, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 13, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
GOVPARTYMO-28-R
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 100¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 2 trades, 50% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
12d ago92¢5.31bought no
2mo ago93¢5.31bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.