Governor Montana·closes in 38mo

Will the Democratic party win the governorship in Montana

YES means Democratic

24h volume: 0; 144 lifetime
Open interest: 62; +0 over 7d
Spread: 5¢; 0.05 × 200 at the touch
24h range: –

Chance of YES

99%

A YES contract costs 18¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

costs 87¢

YES bid / ask

13¢ / 18¢

NO bid / ask

82¢ / 87¢

What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.

2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.

3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h 7d 30d 90d

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes

ask1,000100¢
ask2,67796¢
ask25396¢
ask20018¢

spread5¢mid 16¢

bid0.0513¢
bid2009¢
bid1852¢
bid2,5070¢
bid1,0000¢

Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If a representative of the Democratic party is inaugurated as the governor of Montana pursuant to the 2028 election, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources

Montana Secretary of State

opened: Jul 15, 2025 · 2:00 PM UTC
closes: Nov 7, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by: Jan 3, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker: GOVPARTYMT-28-D

Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 187¢).

Republican88¢

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.