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North Carolina·closes in 38mo

Will the Republican party win the governorship in North Carolina

YES means Republican

24h volume
1
1,174 lifetime
Open interest
456
+0 over 7d
Spread
1¢
71 × 0.63 at the touch
24h range
31¢ – 31¢
13 recent trades
Chance of YES
31%

A YES contract costs 32¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
69%

costs 69¢

YES bid / ask
31¢ / 32¢
NO bid / ask
68¢ / 69¢
24h low 31¢24h high 31¢
Recent buying50% YES · 50% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
20¢25¢30¢35¢40¢volSep 17Sep 20

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask1,000100¢
  • ask1,00097¢
  • ask5,05294¢
  • ask20094¢
  • ask2,50037¢
  • ask0.1733¢
  • ask0.6332¢
spread1¢mid 31¢
  • bid7131¢
  • bid2,50030¢
  • bid121¢
  • bid220¢
  • bid119¢
  • bid118¢
  • bid3012¢
  • bid487¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If a representative of the Republican party is inaugurated as the governor of North Carolina pursuant to the 2028 election, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources
opened
Jul 15, 2025 · 2:00 PM UTC
closes
Nov 7, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
GOVPARTYNC-28-R
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 98¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 13 trades, 50% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
24h ago31¢1bought no
7d ago31¢1bought no
8d ago31¢26bought no
13d ago32¢0.37bought no
22d ago31¢1bought no
28d ago33¢0.83bought no
1mo ago36¢1.2bought yes
1mo ago37¢128bought yes
1mo ago31¢1bought no
2mo ago33¢1bought no
2mo ago33¢99bought no
2mo ago35¢1bought yes
2mo ago33¢1bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.