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Utah Governor·closes in 38mo

Will the Democratic party win the governorship in Utah

YES means Democratic party

24h volume
0
1,696 lifetime
Open interest
754
Spread
7¢
2,500 × 2,505 at the touch
24h range
–
1 recent trades
Chance of YES
14%

A YES contract costs 16¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
86%

costs 91¢

YES bid / ask
9¢ / 16¢
NO bid / ask
84¢ / 91¢
Recent buying100% YES · 0% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask5,20099¢
  • ask6,63098¢
  • ask6,84097¢
  • ask22897¢
  • ask4997¢
  • ask27766¢
  • ask1,87365¢
  • ask2,50516¢
spread7¢mid 13¢
  • bid2,5009¢
  • bid59¢
  • bid161¢
  • bid2,8371¢
  • bid510¢
  • bid1720¢
  • bid1,0000¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If a representative of the Democratic party is inaugurated as the governor of Utah pursuant to the 2028 election, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources
opened
Jul 15, 2025 · 2:00 PM UTC
closes
Nov 7, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 4, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
GOVPARTYUT-28-D
Trade it on kalshi.com

This event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

This is the only market in its event.

Recent trades

Over the last 1 trades, 100% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
2mo ago14¢34bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.