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Utah Governor·closes in 38mo

Will the Republican party win the governorship in Utah

YES means Republican party

24h volume
0
1,234 lifetime
Open interest
555
+0 over 7d
Spread
6¢
6.2 × 2,500 at the touch
24h range
–
Chance of YES
84%

A YES contract costs 91¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
16%

costs 15¢

YES bid / ask
85¢ / 91¢
NO bid / ask
9¢ / 15¢
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
80¢85¢90¢95¢100¢volSep 14Sep 20

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask1,000100¢
  • ask53100¢
  • ask20099¢
  • ask1,77099¢
  • ask591¢
  • ask2,50091¢
spread6¢mid 88¢
  • bid6.285¢
  • bid2,50084¢
  • bid150¢
  • bid4349¢
  • bid5248¢
  • bid1,07047¢
  • bid1,70946¢
  • bid2445¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If a representative of the Republican party is inaugurated as the governor of Utah pursuant to the 2028 election, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources
opened
Jul 15, 2025 · 2:00 PM UTC
closes
Nov 7, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 4, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
GOVPARTYUT-28-R
Trade it on kalshi.com

This event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

This is the only market in its event.

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.