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2028 R running·closes in 16mo

Who will run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2028?

YES means Jeff Bezos

24h volume
0
4,444 lifetime
Open interest
3,237
+0 over 7d
Spread
4¢
1,000 × 5.56 at the touch
24h range
–
22 recent trades
Chance of YES
14%

A YES contract costs 17¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
86%

costs 87¢

YES bid / ask
13¢ / 17¢
NO bid / ask
83¢ / 87¢
Recent buying3% YES · 97% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
0¢5¢10¢15¢20¢volSep 16Sep 20

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Order book unavailable.

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Jeff Bezos announces a presidential campaign to contest the presidential nomination of the Republican party for the 2028 U.S. presidential election before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources
opened
May 21 · 1:00 AM UTC
closes
Jan 1, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KX2028RRUN-28-JBEZ
Trade it on kalshi.com

This event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

This is the only market in its event.

Recent trades

Over the last 22 trades, 3% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
22d ago14¢8.19bought no
1mo ago17¢1.25bought yes
1mo ago17¢0.34bought yes
1mo ago18¢2.82bought yes
1mo ago17¢0.17bought yes
1mo ago14¢3.13bought no
1mo ago13¢1.45bought no
1mo ago15¢11bought no
1mo ago14¢85bought no
1mo ago17¢21bought no
2mo ago16¢0.08bought no
2mo ago15¢1.44bought no
2mo ago16¢0.02bought no
2mo ago15¢4.27bought no
2mo ago16¢150bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.