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US highest gas price monthly·closed · YES

Will average gas prices go above $4.40 by Sep 30, 2026?

YES means Above $4.40

24h volume
0
4,731 lifetime
Open interest
3,231
Spread
100¢
0 × 0 at the touch
24h range
–
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
99%

A YES contract costs 100¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
1%

costs 100¢

YES bid / ask
0¢ / 100¢
NO bid / ask
0¢ / 100¢
Recent buying87% YES · 13% NO

This market is closed and resolved YES. Prices shown are the last ones traded.

What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Empty book.

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If AAA reports that the maximum price of national average regular gas for the US is greater than $4.40 at any time from Issuance through Sep 30, 2026, inclusive, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources
opened
Sep 1 · 4:00 AM UTC
closes
Sep 17 · 2:42 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Oct 2 · 4:14 AM UTC
floor
4.4
ticker
KXAAAGASMAXM-26SEP30-4.40
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 87% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
2mo ago99¢850bought yes
2mo ago99¢63bought yes
2mo ago99¢50bought yes
2mo ago99¢150bought yes
2mo ago98¢209bought yes
2mo ago97¢250bought no
2mo ago97¢1bought no
2mo ago96¢16bought no
2mo ago95¢31bought no
2mo ago94¢16bought no
2mo ago94¢3.2bought no
2mo ago96¢81bought no
2mo ago96¢200bought yes
2mo ago93¢1.61bought no
2mo ago90¢100bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.