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JP Morgan·closes in 16mo

Will JPMorgan Chase & Co. announce acquisition of any company before Jan 1, 2028?

YES means Before Jan 1, 2028

24h volume
0
1,039 lifetime
Open interest
556
Spread
6¢
5 × 500 at the touch
24h range
–
11 recent trades
Chance of YES
84%

A YES contract costs 83¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
16%

costs 23¢

YES bid / ask
77¢ / 83¢
NO bid / ask
17¢ / 23¢
Recent buying100% YES · 0% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask2399¢
  • ask63098¢
  • ask1.2194¢
  • ask2.8391¢
  • ask50083¢
spread6¢mid 80¢
  • bid577¢
  • bid0.1376¢
  • bid50075¢
  • bid11168¢
  • bid6060¢
  • bid5437¢
  • bid1,43922¢
  • bid20020¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If JPMorgan Chase & Co. announces an agreement to acquire any company before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

The announcement must involve a definitive, binding agreement accompanied by public announcement. Letters of intent, memoranda of understanding, or agreements in principle do not qualify. The deal does not need to close as long as an agreement has been announced. Regulatory blocking or later cancellation does not affect resolution. Cross-border transactions qualify if a definitive agreement is announced. Internal reorganizations, joint ventures, or minority investments do not qualify unless they involve controlling ownership transfer. The acquisition can be structured as asset purchases, stock purchases, tender offers, SPAC combinations, or takeover agreements. Transactions involving subsidiaries qualify, but those limited solely to assets or divisions must represent the majority of operations or equity control.

Settlement sources
opened
May 29 · 2:30 PM UTC
closes
Jan 1, 2028 · 4:59 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXACQANNOUNCEJPM-28JAN01-JAN01
Trade it on kalshi.com

This event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

This is the only market in Will JPMorgan acquire any company before 2028?.

Recent trades

Over the last 11 trades, 100% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
14d ago84¢500bought yes
25d ago91¢0.01bought yes
25d ago91¢0.94bought yes
25d ago83¢0.13bought yes
1mo ago74¢2bought yes
2mo ago70¢0.13bought no
2mo ago75¢0.13bought yes
2mo ago76¢23bought yes
2mo ago76¢23bought yes
2mo ago76¢1.22bought yes
2mo ago77¢0.06bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.