Who will play Sonny Crocket in Miami Vice·closes in 101mo

Will Richard Madden be casted in the next Miami Vice?

YES means Richard Madden

24h volume
0
476 lifetime
Open interest
87
+0 over 7d
Spread
5 × 8 at the touch
24h range
3 recent trades
Chance of YES
5%

A YES contract costs 12¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
95%

costs 95¢

YES bid / ask
/ 12¢
NO bid / ask
88¢ / 95¢
Recent buying3% YES · 97% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

0¢5¢10¢15¢volSep 14Sep 20

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask20585¢
  • ask17161¢
  • ask77060¢
  • ask17453¢
  • ask20152¢
  • ask4751¢
  • ask10013¢
  • ask812¢
spreadmid
  • bid5
  • bid100
  • bid140
  • bid200
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Richard Madden is cast in Miami Vice before Jan 1, 2035, then the market resolves to Yes.

This market and these products have not been endorsed by NBC. Any references to NBC, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Kalshi and NBC.

opened
Jul 22, 2025 · 4:30 PM UTC
closes
Jan 1, 2035 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2035 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXACTORSONNYCROCKETT-35-RIC
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 3 trades, 3% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
7d ago25bought no
7d ago5bought no
1mo ago10¢1bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.