Will tom cruz be in a movie·closes in 52mo

Will Tom Cruise be cast in a Film With Ana de Armas?

YES means Tom Cruise

24h volume
0
886 lifetime
Open interest
315
Spread
80¢
5 × 888 at the touch
24h range
4 recent trades
Chance of YES
46%

A YES contract costs 91¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
54%

costs 89¢

YES bid / ask
11¢ / 91¢
NO bid / ask
/ 89¢
Recent buying84% YES · 16% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask5,00099¢
  • ask55598¢
  • ask1,00097¢
  • ask21796¢
  • ask4695¢
  • ask88891¢
spread80¢mid 51¢
  • bid511¢
  • bid20610¢
  • bid888
  • bid444
  • bid56
  • bid1,758
  • bid4,500
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Tom Cruise is cast in a Film With Ana de Armas before Dec 31, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.

This market DOES NOT encompass the upcoming Doug Liman film 'Deeper', in which both are slated to star. Resolution will only occur if the two are officially credited together in a different released film during the life of the market For the purposes of this market, “cast” means any credited acting role, whether live-action or voice acting in an animated film. Cameos or background appearances only count if the performer is officially listed in the cast credits. Producer-only or behind-the-scenes roles don’t qualify. Uncredited cameos, extras, or walk-ons are excluded.

opened
Sep 3, 2025 · 2:00 PM UTC
closes
Dec 31, 2030 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Dec 31, 2030 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXACTORTOMCRUZ-30-TOM
Trade it on kalshi.com

This event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

This is the only market in Tom Cruise cast in another film with Ana de Armas?.

Recent trades

Over the last 4 trades, 84% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
16d ago46¢11bought yes
16d ago45¢3bought yes
1mo ago15¢4bought no
2mo ago45¢7bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.