WHO WILL BE THE ACTOR IN WHITELOTUS·closes in 16mo

Will Florence Pugh be cast in The White Lotus: Season 4?

YES means Florence Pugh

24h volume
0
414 lifetime
Open interest
205
Spread
5 × 135 at the touch
24h range
3 recent trades
Chance of YES
10%

A YES contract costs 10¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
90%

costs 96¢

YES bid / ask
/ 10¢
NO bid / ask
90¢ / 96¢
Recent buying30% YES · 70% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask20099¢
  • ask14098¢
  • ask1497¢
  • ask22559¢
  • ask458¢
  • ask4357¢
  • ask1256¢
  • ask13510¢
spreadmid
  • bid5
  • bid202
  • bid140
  • bid200
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Florence Pugh is cast in The White Lotus: Season 4, then the market resolves to Yes.

opened
Dec 12, 2025 · 10:15 PM UTC
closes
Dec 31, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Dec 31, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXACTORWHITELOTUS-27-FLO
Trade it on kalshi.com

This event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

This is the only market in its event.

Recent trades

Over the last 3 trades, 30% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
14d ago10¢8.37bought yes
2mo ago4bought no
2mo ago16bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.