Will the U.S. enact an AI kill switch law before Jan 1, 2028?
YES means Before Jan 1, 2028
- 24h volume
- 17
- 53 lifetime
- Open interest
- 19
- Spread
- 9¢
- 205 × 200 at the touch
- 24h range
- –
- 4 recent trades
A YES contract costs 58¢ and pays $1 if it happens.
costs 51¢
An independent read of this market
Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.
Price history
YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.
Order book
Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.
- ask1,01796¢
- ask4095¢
- ask24189¢
- ask16888¢
- ask25480¢
- ask22478¢
- ask6377¢
- ask20058¢
- bid20549¢
- bid5116¢
- bid7414¢
- bid39913¢
- bid1001¢
How this market resolves
Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.
If legislation requiring AI kill switches has become law after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
A qualifying federal law must require a technical capability to halt or disable an AI model or system when needed to address safety or security risks or loss of control. This may be implemented through shutdown, suspension, or cutting off the resources or access the system needs to operate. Control may remain with the company; government authority to activate it is not required. A general power to ban AI development or deployment does not qualify without a required technical shutdown capability. The capability need not be activated before the deadline. A later effective date does not delay qualification. An example of this is the AI Kill Switch Act (H.R. 9917).
- opened
- Sep 17 · 12:00 AM UTC
- closes
- Jan 1, 2028 · 4:59 AM UTC · may close early
- settles by
- Jan 7, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC
- ticker
- KXAIKILLSWITCH-26SEP-28JAN01
Other outcomes in this event
Outcomes in this event settle independently.
Recent trades
Over the last 4 trades, 100% of contracts were bought on the YES side.
| When | YES | Contracts | Side |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22m ago | 57¢ | 17 | bought yes |
| 1d ago | 78¢ | 1.26 | bought yes |
| 1d ago | 54¢ | 17 | bought yes |
| 1d ago | 54¢ | 18 | bought yes |
Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.