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When will artist release a new album?·closes in 2mo

Will Kendrick Lamar release a new album before Dec 1, 2026?

YES means Before December

24h volume
0
2,729 lifetime
Open interest
1,080
Spread
6¢
5 × 13 at the touch
24h range
–
44 recent trades
Chance of YES
37%

A YES contract costs 40¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
63%

costs 66¢

YES bid / ask
34¢ / 40¢
NO bid / ask
60¢ / 66¢
Recent buying48% YES · 52% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask2375¢
  • ask41374¢
  • ask72172¢
  • ask1,11070¢
  • ask50060¢
  • ask41559¢
  • ask10041¢
  • ask1340¢
spread6¢mid 37¢
  • bid534¢
  • bid10033¢
  • bid21611¢
  • bid4549¢
  • bid9.888¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Kendrick Lamar releases a new album before Dec 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources
opened
May 21 · 9:00 PM UTC
closes
Dec 1 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXALBUMRELEASEDATE-NEWKEN-26DEC01
Trade it on kalshi.com

This event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

This is the only market in its event.

Recent trades

Over the last 44 trades, 48% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
3d ago37¢1bought no
7d ago44¢44bought yes
7d ago44¢1.64bought yes
10d ago37¢52bought no
15d ago42¢103bought yes
16d ago38¢5bought no
16d ago40¢2bought yes
16d ago39¢100bought no
16d ago40¢5bought no
19d ago39¢5bought no
19d ago40¢5bought no
19d ago39¢3bought no
19d ago45¢2.13bought yes
22d ago39¢18bought no
26d ago39¢8bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.