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When will Novak win his 25th Major?·closes in 16mo

Novak Djokovic to win his 25th Major before 2028?

YES means Before 2028

24h volume
52
786 lifetime
Open interest
615
+52 over 7d
Spread
7¢
100 × 1,066 at the touch
24h range
5¢ – 5¢
14 recent trades
Chance of YES
5%−8

A YES contract costs 11¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
95%

costs 96¢

YES bid / ask
4¢ / 11¢
NO bid / ask
89¢ / 96¢
24h low 5¢24h high 5¢
Recent buying30% YES · 70% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
0¢5¢10¢15¢volSep 14Sep 20

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask10099¢
  • ask4183¢
  • ask2,00069¢
  • ask1,33163¢
  • ask1,06611¢
spread7¢mid 8¢
  • bid1004¢
  • bid1.041¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Novak Djokovic wins his 25th career major grand slam tournament before 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

Tennis majors: Australian Open, French Open, Wimbledon, and U.S. Open. For this market, only victories in the tournaments listed above will count as major tournament wins. For tennis, only Singles titles are counted. Doubles titles will not count toward the total. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Aug 31 · 3:34 PM UTC
closes
Jan 8, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXATPNOVAK25-DJO-28
Trade it on kalshi.com

This event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

This is the only market in Novak Djokovic: 25th Major Next Year.

Recent trades

Over the last 14 trades, 30% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
12h ago5¢52bought no
7d ago12¢46bought yes
7d ago13¢30bought yes
7d ago12¢54bought yes
7d ago12¢45bought yes
7d ago12¢22bought yes
7d ago12¢4.23bought yes
7d ago5¢1.04bought no
9d ago12¢31bought yes
12d ago9¢100bought no
19d ago13¢100bought no
19d ago16¢100bought no
20d ago19¢100bought no
20d ago19¢100bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.