Who will win the next Australian House election?
YES means Australian Labor Party
- 24h volume
- 0
- 10.4k lifetime
- Open interest
- 5,512
- +0 over 7d
- Spread
- 9¢
- 5 × 200 at the touch
- 24h range
- –
- 7 recent trades
A YES contract costs 58¢ and pays $1 if it happens.
costs 51¢
An independent read of this market
Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.
Price history
YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.
Order book
Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.
Order book unavailable.
How this market resolves
Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.
If the winner of the next Australian House election is Australian Labor Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
For parliamentary/legislative elections, the winner is the party, coalition, or alliance winning the most seats in the specified chamber. If two parties have the same number of seats, the one entering government will resolve to Yes and all others to No; if both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to Yes and all others to No. This market may resolve early once a consensus of designated media sources has declared a winner. See full rules for details.
- opened
- Jul 15, 2025 · 2:00 PM UTC
- closes
- Sep 30, 2029 · 2:00 PM UTC · may close early
- settles by
- Sep 30, 2028 · 2:00 PM UTC
- ticker
- KXAUSTRALIAHOUSE-28-ALP
This event
Outcomes in this event settle independently.
This is the only market in its event.
Recent trades
Over the last 7 trades, 80% of contracts were bought on the YES side.
| When | YES | Contracts | Side |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2mo ago | 52¢ | 0.7 | bought yes |
| 2mo ago | 53¢ | 182 | bought yes |
| 2mo ago | 52¢ | 4.3 | bought yes |
| 2mo ago | 52¢ | 5 | bought yes |
| 2mo ago | 46¢ | 1 | bought no |
| 2mo ago | 47¢ | 46 | bought no |
| 2mo ago | 47¢ | 0.42 | bought no |
Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.