Summer Olympics USA Men's Basketball Team·closes in 23mo

Will Scottie Barnes be selected to the USA Men's Basketball team for the 2028 Summer Olympics?

YES means Scottie Barnes

24h volume
0
835 lifetime
Open interest
771
+51 over 7d
Spread
36¢
5 × 91 at the touch
24h range
13 recent trades
Chance of YES
77%

A YES contract costs 77¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
23%

costs 59¢

YES bid / ask
41¢ / 77¢
NO bid / ask
23¢ / 59¢
Recent buying96% YES · 4% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

40¢50¢60¢70¢80¢volSep 14Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask9092¢
  • ask21186¢
  • ask9177¢
spread36¢mid 59¢
  • bid541¢
  • bid540¢
  • bid2738¢
  • bid5027¢
  • bid12218¢
  • bid9012¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Scottie Barnes is selected to the USA Men's Basketball team for the 2028 Summer Olympics, then the market resolves to Yes.

This market resolves based on whether Scottie Barnes is selected to the team. If they are selected but do not end up competing in the event, then the market still resolves to Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

opened
May 29 · 12:00 AM UTC
closes
Jul 31, 2028 · 2:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jul 31, 2028 · 2:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXBBALLTEAMUSA-28-SBARNES4
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 13 trades, 96% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
1d ago77¢31bought yes
5d ago47¢51bought yes
10d ago46¢0.02bought yes
10d ago47¢21bought yes
18d ago47¢46bought yes
18d ago46¢5bought yes
19d ago38¢23bought no
19d ago39¢5bought no
28d ago50¢96bought yes
28d ago47¢102bought yes
2mo ago42¢250bought yes
2mo ago41¢28bought yes
2mo ago41¢1bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.