Bitcoin price on Nov 4, 2026?
YES means $80,800 or above
- 24h volume
- 55.2k
- 64.9k lifetime
- Open interest
- 32.7k
- Spread
- 1¢
- 3,328 × 3,346 at the touch
- 24h range
- –
- 50 recent trades
A YES contract costs 3¢ and pays $1 if it happens.
costs 98¢
An independent read of this market
Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.
Price history
YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.
Order book
Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.
- ask69111¢
- ask1,11110¢
- ask1,3749¢
- ask9408¢
- ask1,1407¢
- ask3,8976¢
- ask3,6265¢
- ask4,9424¢
- bid5553¢
- bid3,6112¢
- bid5,5551¢
How this market resolves
Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.
If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) before 10 PM EST is above 80799.99 at 10 PM EST on Nov 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices.
- opened
- Nov 5 · 2:00 AM UTC
- closes
- Nov 5 · 3:00 AM UTC · may close early
- settles by
- Nov 5 · 3:05 AM UTC
- floor
- 80799.99
- ticker
- KXBTCD-26NOV0422-T80799.99
Other outcomes in this event
Outcomes in this event settle independently.
Recent trades
Over the last 50 trades, 62% of contracts were bought on the YES side.
| When | YES | Contracts | Side |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3s ago | 3¢ | 6 | bought yes |
| 3s ago | 3¢ | 36 | bought yes |
| 7s ago | 3¢ | 62 | bought yes |
| 24s ago | 2¢ | 54 | bought no |
| 24s ago | 2¢ | 5.55 | bought no |
| 24s ago | 2¢ | 5.45 | bought no |
| 36s ago | 4¢ | 234 | bought yes |
| 45s ago | 4¢ | 6 | bought yes |
| 45s ago | 4¢ | 79 | bought yes |
| 45s ago | 4¢ | 7 | bought yes |
| 49s ago | 3¢ | 199 | bought yes |
| 49s ago | 3¢ | 250 | bought yes |
| 52s ago | 3¢ | 50 | bought yes |
| 53s ago | 3¢ | 241 | bought yes |
| 60s ago | 3¢ | 30 | bought yes |
Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.