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Bitcoin price Above/below·closes in 19h

Bitcoin price on Nov 5, 2026?

YES means $78,750 or above

24h volume
4,715
4,715 lifetime
Open interest
4,075
+3,986 over 7d
Spread
1¢
5,767 × 5,020 at the touch
24h range
79¢ – 92¢
41 recent trades
Chance of YES
90%

A YES contract costs 92¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
10%

costs 9¢

YES bid / ask
91¢ / 92¢
NO bid / ask
8¢ / 9¢
24h low 79¢24h high 92¢
Recent buying17% YES · 83% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
75¢80¢85¢90¢95¢volNov 4, 10:00 PMNov 5, 3:00 AM

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask199¢
  • ask1,05296¢
  • ask1,04295¢
  • ask11.3k94¢
  • ask9,38793¢
  • ask5,02092¢
spread1¢mid 92¢
  • bid5,76791¢
  • bid5,70190¢
  • bid11.1k89¢
  • bid20088¢
  • bid5,00087¢
  • bid35484¢
  • bid882¢
  • bid15075¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) before 5 PM EST is above 78749.99 at 5 PM EST on Nov 5, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices.

Settlement sources
opened
Nov 4 · 9:00 PM UTC
closes
Nov 5 · 10:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 5 · 10:05 PM UTC
floor
78749.99
ticker
KXBTCD-26NOV0517-T78749.99
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 41 trades, 17% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
7m ago90¢69bought no
15m ago91¢15bought yes
28m ago92¢2bought yes
44m ago91¢21bought no
1h ago91¢8bought yes
1h ago91¢24bought yes
1h ago91¢14bought no
1h ago91¢9bought no
2h ago87¢73bought no
2h ago88¢47bought no
2h ago89¢300bought yes
2h ago89¢100bought no
2h ago89¢200bought no
2h ago89¢500bought no
2h ago89¢72bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.