Bitcoin price Above/below·closes in 2d

Bitcoin price on Nov 6, 2026?

YES means $75,000 or above

24h volume
6,047
80.0k lifetime
Open interest
23.7k
+23.7k over 7d
Spread
2¢
8,901 × 1 at the touch
24h range
81¢ – 99¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
96%+23

A YES contract costs 99¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
4%

costs 3¢

YES bid / ask
97¢ / 99¢
NO bid / ask
1¢ / 3¢
24h low 81¢24h high 99¢
Recent buying12% YES · 88% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

60¢70¢80¢90¢100¢volOct 30Nov 5

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask199¢
spread2¢mid 98¢
  • bid8,90197¢
  • bid3,90096¢
  • bid4,42095¢
  • bid2,03294¢
  • bid1,07193¢
  • bid7590¢
  • bid8580¢
  • bid9770¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) before 5 PM EST is above 74999.99 at 5 PM EST on Nov 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices.

Settlement sources
opened
Oct 30 · 8:00 PM UTC
closes
Nov 6 · 10:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 6 · 10:05 PM UTC
floor
74999.99
ticker
KXBTCD-26NOV0617-T74999.99
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 12% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
1h ago96¢0.12bought no
4h ago99¢156bought no
4h ago98¢38bought no
4h ago99¢1bought no
4h ago99¢1.24bought no
4h ago99¢50bought yes
4h ago99¢1bought yes
6h ago97¢12bought no
8h ago95¢112bought no
8h ago95¢801bought no
8h ago96¢963bought no
8h ago97¢10bought no
8h ago97¢2.64bought no
8h ago97¢9.37bought no
8h ago97¢10bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.