Bitcoin price Above/below·closes in 2d

Bitcoin price on Nov 6, 2026?

YES means $78,000 or above

24h volume
36.5k
116.3k lifetime
Open interest
22.3k
+22.3k over 7d
Spread
1¢
7,201 × 9,403 at the touch
24h range
32¢ – 89¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
89%+59

A YES contract costs 87¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
11%

costs 14¢

YES bid / ask
86¢ / 87¢
NO bid / ask
13¢ / 14¢
24h low 32¢24h high 89¢
Recent buying13% YES · 87% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

25¢50¢75¢volOct 30Nov 5

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask30197¢
  • ask50096¢
  • ask40195¢
  • ask33994¢
  • ask1.0893¢
  • ask4,50189¢
  • ask14.1k88¢
  • ask9,40387¢
spread1¢mid 87¢
  • bid7,20186¢
  • bid4,93085¢
  • bid17.0k84¢
  • bid383¢
  • bid176¢
  • bid15075¢
  • bid4063¢
  • bid17060¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) before 5 PM EST is above 77999.99 at 5 PM EST on Nov 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices.

Settlement sources
opened
Oct 30 · 8:00 PM UTC
closes
Nov 6 · 10:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 6 · 10:05 PM UTC
floor
77999.99
ticker
KXBTCD-26NOV0617-T77999.99
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 13% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
34m ago89¢100bought no
36m ago89¢34bought no
38m ago89¢100bought no
41m ago89¢100bought yes
1h ago88¢7.84bought no
1h ago88¢50bought yes
2h ago88¢1.64bought no
2h ago88¢14bought no
3h ago86¢12bought no
3h ago86¢8.1bought yes
3h ago86¢0.91bought no
3h ago86¢15bought no
3h ago86¢25bought no
3h ago88¢15bought no
4h ago88¢34bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.