Bitcoin price Above/below·closed · NO

Bitcoin price on Sep 20, 2026?

YES means $81,300 or above

24h volume
26.1k
26.1k lifetime
Open interest
8,426
Spread
100¢
0 × 0 at the touch
24h range
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
1%

A YES contract costs 100¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
99%

costs 100¢

YES bid / ask
/ 100¢
NO bid / ask
/ 100¢
Recent buying30% YES · 70% NO

This market is closed and resolved NO. Prices shown are the last ones traded.

What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Empty book.

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) before 6 PM EDT is above 81299.99 at 6 PM EDT on Sep 20, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices.

Settlement sources
opened
Sep 20 · 9:00 PM UTC
closes
Sep 20 · 10:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Sep 20 · 10:05 PM UTC
floor
81299.99
ticker
KXBTCD-26SEP2018-T81299.99
Trade it on kalshi.com

This event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

This is the only market in its event.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 30% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
5h ago10bought yes
5h ago323bought yes
5h ago18bought yes
5h ago231bought yes
5h ago42bought yes
5h ago11bought yes
5h ago124bought yes
5h ago197bought no
5h ago50bought no
5h ago185bought no
5h ago5bought no
5h ago3.68bought no
5h ago19bought no
5h ago100bought no
5h ago500bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.